Tuesday, October 2, 2012

NFL Week 4 APR vs. ESPN

What this is

A comparison of APR's Week 4 power rankings with ESPN's rankings for the same week of games. This acts as a sanity check (both ways) to see what teams are over- or underrated.

Only teams with the widest differential are listed. The number in parentheses is the difference between APR's rank and ESPN's rank.

Teams ESPN likes more than APR:

On the bubble
The Giants (+6) don't have a win outside a couple weak NFC South teams. On the other hand, they started out struggling last year, too. So... repeat?

Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

Dolphins (-11)
The Dolphins did take the 4-0 Cardinals to overtime this week. And their overtime loss to the Jets looked a lot better before the Jets got pummeled by the 49ers last Sunday.
Colts (-9)
The Colts are certainly better than the #31 spot ESPN has them in. The Chiefs, Titans, and yeah, the Saints should all be below the Colts.
Seahawks (-9)
Russell Wilson still hasn't passed for more than 160 yards in a game (140 if you subtract out sack yardage). Their close loss to the Cardinals in week 1 is probably holding them up, but APR has them way overrated at #9
On the bubble
The Jaguars' (-6) Blane Gabbert is playing noticably better than last year (a low bar to clear, to be sure).