Update: I just discovered another error in my recorded scores, for the Chargers @ Raiders game in week 1. I'm not going to correct the previous power rankings (or picks), but the corrected power rankings for week 4 appears below.
| Rank | Team | Power Index | W-L | This Week |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (-) | Texans | 1.1335 (LW × 0.8902) | 4-0 | Won by 24 vs Titans |
| 2 (-) | Cardinals | 1.1194 (LW × 0.9079) | 4-0 | Won by 3 vs Dolphins |
| 3 (↑3) | Ravens | 1.0568 (LW × 1.0108) | 3-1 | Won by 7 vs Browns |
| 4 (↑3) | Patriots | 1.0544 (LW × 1.0100) | 2-2 | Won by 24 @ Bills |
| 5 (↑3) | 49ers | 1.0500 (LW × 1.0543) | 3-1 | Won by 34 @ Jets |
| 6 (↑7) | Bears | 1.0484 (LW × 1.0853) | 3-1 | Won by 16 @ Cowboys |
| 7 (↓3) | Falcons | 1.0275 (LW × 0.8798) | 4-0 | Won by 2 vs Panthers |
| 8 (↓5) | Seahawks | 1.0021 (LW × 0.8552) | 2-2 | Lost by 6 @ Rams |
| 9 (↓4) | Broncos | 0.9963 (LW × 0.9029) | 2-2 | Won by 31 vs Raiders |
| 10 (↑11) | Bengals | 0.9918 (LW × 1.1462) | 3-1 | Won by 17 @ Jaguars |
| 11 (↓1) | Vikings | 0.9890 (LW × 1.0142) | 3-1 | Won by 7 @ Lions |
| 12 (↓1) | Eagles | 0.9568 (LW × 0.9820) | 3-1 | Won by 2 vs Giants |
| 13 (↓4) | Packers | 0.9115 (LW × 0.9211) | 2-2 | Won by 1 vs Saints |
| 14 (↑4) | Chargers | 0.8991 (LW × 0.9894) | 3-1 | Won by 17 @ Chiefs |
| 15 (↑1) | Dolphins | 0.8983 (LW × 0.9690) | 1-3 | Lost by 3 @ Cardinals |
| 16 (↑3) | Giants | 0.8899 (LW × 0.9927) | 2-2 | Lost by 2 @ Eagles |
| 17 (↑9) | Rams | 0.8843 (LW × 1.1818) | 2-2 | Won by 6 vs Seahawks |
| 18 (↓6) | Steelers | 0.8794 (LW × 0.9101) | 1-2 | Bye |
| 19 (↑10) | Redskins | 0.8531 (LW × 1.1994) | 2-2 | Won by 2 @ Buccaneers |
| 20 (↓6) | Cowboys | 0.8423 (LW × 0.8766) | 2-2 | Lost by 16 vs Bears |
| 21 (↓6) | Jets | 0.8369 (LW × 0.8800) | 2-2 | Lost by 34 vs 49ers |
| 22 (-) | Colts | 0.8357 (LW × 1.0007) | 1-2 | Bye |
| 23 (↑2) | Lions | 0.8311 (LW × 1.0593) | 1-3 | Lost by 7 vs Vikings |
| 24 (↓7) | Jaguars | 0.8261 (LW × 0.9032) | 1-3 | Lost by 17 vs Bengals |
| 25 (↓5) | Bills | 0.7944 (LW × 0.9165) | 2-2 | Lost by 24 vs Patriots |
| 26 (↓3) | Buccaneers | 0.7865 (LW × 0.9675) | 1-3 | Lost by 2 vs Redskins |
| 27 (-) | Browns | 0.7847 (LW × 1.0729) | 0-4 | Lost by 7 @ Ravens |
| 28 (↑3) | Panthers | 0.7713 (LW × 1.1261) | 1-3 | Lost by 2 @ Falcons |
| 29 (↓1) | Titans | 0.7697 (LW × 1.0564) | 1-3 | Lost by 24 @ Texans |
| 30 (↓6) | Raiders | 0.7522 (LW × 0.9574) | 1-3 | Lost by 31 @ Broncos |
| 31 (↑1) | Saints | 0.6882 (LW × 1.1764) | 0-4 | Lost by 1 @ Packers |
| 32 (↓2) | Chiefs | 0.6671 (LW × 0.9562) | 1-3 | Lost by 17 vs Chargers |
Comments:
The Falcons are going to have to do better than a 2-point come-back win over a (so far) pretty bad Panthers team to get into the top 10, even if they are undefeated. But it's going to be the last weekend in October before they play a team currently ranked higher than #19.
#11 seems pretty high for the Vikings. 49ers are the only team they've played with more than one win. Still, they've already matched last years' win total, so it's safe to say they're a better team this year.
A bad challenge, bad coaching, and some really bad non-calls by the officials made it another long day for the Packers. At least they managed to escape with a win this time.
The good news for the Lions is they have a bye next week. The bad news is, they've already lost 2 games they should've won easily, their special teams unit is a disaster, and they've got a 5 game stretch after the bye with only one home game.
The 1981 Baltimore Colts hold the record for the most yards allowed by a defense at 6,973. Through 4 games, the Saints' defense is on pace to allow 7,412 yards.
The 1981 Baltimore Colts also hold the record for most points allowed, at 533. The Titans and Chiefs are both on pace to allow more, and the Bills and Saints are close.
