Read
this for a description of APR.
Read
this for some disclaimers about applying APR to the NCAA.
This is using a new margin power function (different from the function used for NFL games). This means that the power values are not comparable to the ones posted last year.
Official rankings will be added after they are published.
Rank | Team | W-L | Power Index | This week |
1 (↑2) | Texas BCS=2 | 8-0 | 8.1502 (LW × 1.147) | won by 27 at Oklahoma-St |
2 (↓1) | Florida BCS=1 | 8-0 | 7.7337 (LW × 1.024) | won by 24 vs Georgia |
3 (↓1) | Alabama BCS=3 | 8-0 | 6.7361 (LW × 0.931) | Bye |
4 (↑4) | Oregon BCS=8 | 7-1 | 6.5810 (LW × 1.165) | won by 27 vs USC |
5 (↓1) | TCU BCS=6 | 8-0 | 5.7228 (LW × 0.907) | won by 41 vs UNLV |
6 (↑5) | Texas-Tech | 6-3 | 5.7124 (LW × 1.129) | won by 21 vs Kansas |
7 (↓1) | Georgia-Tech BCS=10 | 8-1 | 5.6927 (LW × 0.941) | won by 25 at Vanderbilt |
8 (↑1) | Oklahoma BCS=24 | 5-3 | 5.5014 (LW × 1.000) | won by 12 vs Kansas-St |
9 (↓2) | Iowa BCS=4 | 9-0 | 5.4541 (LW × 0.958) | won by 18 vs Indiana |
10 (↓5) | Virginia-Tech BCS=23 | 5-3 | 5.3417 (LW × 0.866) | lost by 3 vs North-Carolina |
11 (↑13) | Texas-A&M | 5-3 | 5.3386 (LW × 1.229) | won by 25 vs Iowa-St |
12 (↑1) | Arkansas | 4-4 | 5.0788 (LW × 1.018) | won by 36 vs East-Michigan |
13 (↑3) | Penn-St BCS=11 | 8-1 | 4.9822 (LW × 1.029) | won by 21 at Northwestern |
14 (↓2) | Cincinnati BCS=5 | 8-0 | 4.9208 (LW × 0.981) | won by 21 at Syracuse |
15 (↑7) | Ohio-St BCS=16 | 7-2 | 4.7282 (LW × 1.076) | won by 45 vs New-Mexico-St |
16 (↓2) | LSU BCS=9 | 7-1 | 4.6905 (LW × 0.957) | won by 42 vs Tulane |
17 (-) | Boise-St BCS=7 | 8-0 | 4.5680 (LW × 0.946) | won by 38 vs San-Jose-St |
18 (↑3) | Pittsburgh BCS=13 | 7-1 | 4.5458 (LW × 1.014) | Bye |
19 (↓9) | USC BCS=12 | 6-2 | 4.5168 (LW × 0.863) | lost by 27 at Oregon |
20 (↓1) | Oklahoma-St BCS=19 | 6-2 | 4.4619 (LW × 0.954) | lost by 27 vs Texas |
21 (↑13) | Auburn | 6-3 | 4.4079 (LW × 1.192) | won by 13 vs Mississippi |
22 (↑1) | Tennessee | 4-4 | 4.3667 (LW × 0.998) | won by 18 vs South-Carolina |
23 (↓5) | Clemson | 5-3 | 4.3294 (LW × 0.910) | won by 46 vs Coastal-Carolina |
24 (↑4) | Houston BCS=15 | 7-1 | 4.2671 (LW × 1.055) | won by 7 vs Southern-Miss |
25 (↓10) | Miami-FL BCS=17 | 6-2 | 4.2421 (LW × 0.867) | won by 1 at Wake-Forest |
26 (↓6) | Mississippi | 5-3 | 4.0082 (LW × 0.880) | lost by 13 at Auburn |
27 (-) | Kansas-St | 5-4 | 3.9996 (LW × 0.969) | lost by 12 at Oklahoma |
28 (↑2) | Nebraska | 5-3 | 3.9711 (LW × 0.995) | won by 10 at Baylor |
29 (↑20) | Wisconsin BCS=21 | 6-2 | 3.9421 (LW × 1.304) | won by 37 vs Purdue |
30 (↓4) | Arizona BCS=18 | 5-2 | 3.9367 (LW × 0.930) | Bye |
31 (↓6) | Notre-Dame BCS=22 | 6-2 | 3.9184 (LW × 0.921) | won by 26 vs Washington-St |
Other Notable Teams: | ||||
36 (↓3) | California BCS=20 | 6-2 | 3.4804 (LW × 0.939) | won by 2 at Arizona-St |
41 (-) | Utah BCS=14 | 7-1 | 3.3603 (LW × 1.024) | won by 12 vs Wyoming |
49 (↓1) | South-Florida BCS=25 | 5-2 | 3.0344 (LW × 0.999) | Bye |
Comments:
This ranking doesn't include the Marshall @ UCF game, scheduled for Sunday night. But since both teams are down in the weeds, it shouldn't be a big deal.
Texas and Florida are head-and-shoulders above everyone else. There's another big drop-off between #5 TCU and #6 Texas Tech.
Oregon moves up to a well-earned spot at #4—they just dominated USC for the whole game.
In spite of the 18-point final margin, Iowa was in real trouble this weekend. At one point in the 3rd quarter, they were down 21-7, and didn't go down more thanks to the flukiest interception I've ever seen.
Iowa still needs to play at Ohio State in a couple weeks, so (especially given the way they played today), it's not going to be a cake-walk for them to finish unbeaten.