Wednesday, October 21, 2009

NFL Week 7 Picks

2009 Navigation Links

Picks for week 7.
Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for a description of SRS.

Line values are taken from yahoo.com.

GameAPRSRSLine
New England Patriots @
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Patriots
ρ=6.8778
Patriots
δ=30.71
Patriots
-14½
Indianapolis Colts @
St. Louis Rams
Colts
ρ=5.8106
Colts
δ=30.68
Colts
-13
Philadelphia Eagles @
Washington Redskins
Eagles
ρ=2.4067
Eagles
δ=14.71
Eagles
-7
San Diego Chargers @
Kansas City Chiefs
Chargers
ρ=2.2170
Chargers
δ=9.02
Chargers
-5
New York Jets @
Oakland Raiders
Jets
ρ=2.2150
Jets
δ=16.60
Jets
-6½
Atlanta Falcons @
Dallas Cowboys
Falcons
ρ=2.2042
Falcons
δ=12.27
Cowboys
-4
New Orleans Saints @
Miami Dolphins
Saints
ρ=1.8849
Saints
δ=13.36
Saints
-7
Buffalo Bills @
Carolina Panthers
Bills
ρ=1.7707
Bills
δ=7.81
Panthers
-7
Green Bay Packers @
Cleveland Browns
Packers
ρ=1.7090
Packers
δ=13.75
Packers
-7
Arizona Cardinals @
New York Giants
Cardinals
ρ=1.6031
Giants
δ=0.44
Giants
-7
Minnesota Vikings @
Pittsburgh Steelers
Vikings
ρ=1.3105
Vikings
δ=7.36
Steelers
-4
San Francisco 49ers @
Houston Texans
49ers
ρ=1.0639
49ers
δ=7.30
Texans
-3
Chicago Bears @
Cincinnati Bengals
Bengals
ρ=1.0021
Bears
δ=4.13
Bengals
-1½

Bye: Baltimore Ravens, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, Jacksonville Jaguars, Seattle Seahawks, Tennessee Titans

Comments:

  • What do you suppose the O/U for Patriots points + Colts points scored this week is—80? 90?

  • The Jets really need to win this week, or things are going to get real ugly for Rex Ryan.

  • If APR is anywhere near right... Cardinals should at least make a game of it against the Giants. I just hope it's not another east coast blow-out like the ones they had last year (@ Jets, @ Patrtiots, @ Eagles).

  • I would be more confident the in Steelers winning if they had put more of a beat-down on the Browns last week.

  • Bears @ Bengals is a push. The Bears probably need the win more (they are already 2½ games behind the Vikings), but that's probably not going to be enough.