Picks for week 7.
Read
this for a description of APR.
Read this
for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken from yahoo.com.
Game | APR | SRS | Line |
New England Patriots @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Patriots ρ=6.8778 | Patriots δ=30.71 | Patriots -14½ |
Indianapolis Colts @ St. Louis Rams | Colts ρ=5.8106 | Colts δ=30.68 | Colts -13 |
Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins | Eagles ρ=2.4067 | Eagles δ=14.71 | Eagles -7 |
San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs | Chargers ρ=2.2170 | Chargers δ=9.02 | Chargers -5 |
New York Jets @ Oakland Raiders | Jets ρ=2.2150 | Jets δ=16.60 | Jets -6½ |
Atlanta Falcons @ Dallas Cowboys | Falcons ρ=2.2042 | Falcons δ=12.27 | Cowboys -4 |
New Orleans Saints @ Miami Dolphins | Saints ρ=1.8849 | Saints δ=13.36 | Saints -7 |
Buffalo Bills @ Carolina Panthers | Bills ρ=1.7707 | Bills δ=7.81 | Panthers -7 |
Green Bay Packers @ Cleveland Browns | Packers ρ=1.7090 | Packers δ=13.75 | Packers -7 |
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants | Cardinals ρ=1.6031 | Giants δ=0.44 | Giants -7 |
Minnesota Vikings @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Vikings ρ=1.3105 | Vikings δ=7.36 | Steelers -4 |
San Francisco 49ers @ Houston Texans | 49ers ρ=1.0639 | 49ers δ=7.30 | Texans -3 |
Chicago Bears @ Cincinnati Bengals | Bengals ρ=1.0021 | Bears δ=4.13 | Bengals -1½ |
Bye: Baltimore Ravens, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, Jacksonville Jaguars, Seattle Seahawks, Tennessee Titans
Comments:
What do you suppose the O/U for Patriots points + Colts points scored this week is—80? 90?
The Jets really need to win this week, or things are going to get real ugly for Rex Ryan.
If APR is anywhere near right... Cardinals should at least make a game of it against the Giants. I just hope it's not another east coast blow-out like the ones they had last year (@ Jets, @ Patrtiots, @ Eagles).
I would be more confident the in Steelers winning if they had put more of a beat-down on the Browns last week.
Bears @ Bengals is a push. The Bears probably need the win more (they are already 2½ games behind the Vikings), but that's probably not going to be enough.