Tuesday, October 20, 2009

NFL Week 6 Power Rankings

2009 Navigation Links
Read this for a description of APR.

Power Rankings For Week 6

RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (-)New Orleans
Saints
5-05.8781
(LW × 1.189)
won by 21
vs Giants
2 (-)Indianapolis
Colts
5-05.5481
(LW × 1.193)
Bye
3 (-)Atlanta
Falcons
4-14.8854
(LW × 1.051)
won by 7
vs Bears
4 (↑1)Denver
Broncos
6-04.6434
(LW × 1.111)
won by 11
at Chargers
5 (↓1)New England
Patriots
4-24.3882
(LW × 1.037)
won by 59
vs Titans
6 (↑5)Arizona
Cardinals
3-24.2446
(LW × 1.567)
won by 24
at Seahawks
7 (↓1)Minnesota
Vikings
6-03.4953
(LW × 0.956)
won by 2
vs Ravens
8 (↓1)New York
Jets
3-33.3549
(LW × 0.994)
lost by 3
vs Bills
9 (↑1)San Francisco
49ers
3-23.2140
(LW × 1.119)
Bye
10 (↑3)Miami
Dolphins
2-33.1186
(LW × 1.217)
Bye
11 (↑13)Houston
Texans
3-33.0209
(LW × 2.125)
won by 11
at Bengals
12 (↓4)Cincinnati
Bengals
4-22.7803
(LW × 0.842)
lost by 11
vs Texans
13 (↓4)Chicago
Bears
3-22.7745
(LW × 0.885)
lost by 7
at Falcons
14 (↑1)Pittsburgh
Steelers
4-22.6671
(LW × 1.055)
won by 13
vs Browns
15 (↑4)New York
Giants
5-12.6477
(LW × 1.229)
lost by 21
at Saints
16 (↓4)Green Bay
Packers
3-22.5366
(LW × 0.964)
won by 26
vs Lions
17 (↓3)Baltimore
Ravens
3-32.4899
(LW × 0.978)
lost by 2
at Vikings
18 (↑3)Jacksonville
Jaguars
3-32.4062
(LW × 1.215)
won by 3
vs Rams
19 (↓2)San Diego
Chargers
2-32.3472
(LW × 1.030)
lost by 11
vs Broncos
20 (↓4)Seattle
Seahawks
2-42.2815
(LW × 0.998)
lost by 24
vs Cardinals
21 (↓1)Dallas
Cowboys
3-22.2164
(LW × 1.102)
Bye
22 (-)Buffalo
Bills
2-42.2002
(LW × 1.457)
won by 3
at Jets
23 (↓5)Philadelphia
Eagles
3-22.0652
(LW × 0.935)
lost by 4
at Raiders
24 (↑5)Oakland
Raiders
2-41.5146
(LW × 1.618)
won by 4
vs Eagles
25 (↓2)Cleveland
Browns
1-51.4843
(LW × 1.032)
lost by 13
at Steelers
26 (-)Tennessee
Titans
0-61.3225
(LW × 1.184)
lost by 59
at Patriots
27 (-)Carolina
Panthers
2-31.2426
(LW × 1.139)
won by 7
at Buccaneers
28 (↓3)Detroit
Lions
1-51.0921
(LW × 0.917)
lost by 26
at Packers
29 (↑2)Kansas City
Chiefs
1-51.0587
(LW × 1.498)
won by 8
at Redskins
30 (-)St. Louis
Rams
0-60.9548
(LW × 1.166)
lost by 3
at Jaguars
31 (↓3)Washington
Redskins
2-40.8581
(LW × 0.905)
lost by 8
vs Chiefs
32 (-)Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
0-60.6380
(LW × 1.102)
lost by 7
vs Panthers

Comments

  • At their current level of power, the Redskins' best shot at a third win this season comes week 14, at Oakland.

  • The Jets are being held up by their wins over the Patriots (#5) and Texans (#11). Whether the Texans are worth that #11 ranking is another question.

  • The Dolphins, in spite of their (currently) losing record, have a couple close losses against the Colts (#2) and Falcons (#3), as well as a win over the Jets (#7).

  • Compare them to the Chargers, who have a couple of 10+ point losses, and a close win over the Raiders (#24).

  • Also note the Giants move up 4 spots, in spite of losing by 21. Playing quality opponents matters to APR, even when you lose big.

Teams ESPN likes more than APR:

Eagles (+11)
The Eagles still haven't beaten a quality team, and now they've lost to the Raiders.

Giants (+10)
The first quality team the Giants faced owned them for the whole game. There's just no way I buy them as a top 5, or even top 10 team.

Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

Cardinals (-10)
I'm not sure how much to believe APR's high ranking of the Cardinals. Presumably the results of Sunday Night Football will bring APR and ESPN closer together, win or lose.

Dolphins (-10)
The teams that beat them are a combined 11-4.

Jets (-10)
Two of the Jets' losses were on the road, and two relatively close (within 4 points). Still, it does seem a bit odd APR hasn't dropped the Jets more than it has.