Picks for week 8.
Read
this for a description of APR.
Read this
for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken from yahoo.com, except for Rams @ Lions, which is from footballlocks.com).
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
| Carolina Panthers @ Arizona Cardinals | Cardinals ρ=4.0142 | Cardinals δ=17.71 | Cardinals -10 |
| Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens | Broncos ρ=2.0234 | Broncos δ=4.18 | Ravens -3 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars @ Tennessee Titans | Jaguars ρ=1.8800 | Jaguars δ=6.69 | Titans -3 |
| Oakland Raiders @ San Diego Chargers | Chargers ρ=1.7844 | Chargers δ=17.84 | Chargers -17 |
| San Francisco 49ers @ Indianapolis Colts | Colts ρ=1.7340 | Colts δ=10.87 | Colts -12½ |
| Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints | Saints ρ=1.6845 | Saints δ=12.02 | Saints -10 |
| Cleveland Browns @ Chicago Bears | Bears ρ=1.6518 | Bears δ=9.32 | Bears -13½ |
| Seattle Seahawks @ Dallas Cowboys | Cowboys ρ=1.5816 | Cowboys δ=4.13 | Cowboys -9½ |
| Houston Texans @ Buffalo Bills | Texans ρ=1.4917 | Texans δ=1.22 | Texans -3½ |
| New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles | Giants ρ=1.3622 | Giants δ=3.84 | Eagles -1 |
| Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets | Jets ρ=1.1962 | Jets δ=1.28 | Jets -3½ |
| St. Louis Rams @ Detroit Lions | Lions ρ=1.1309 | Lions δ=10.11 | Lions -4 |
| Minnesota Vikings @ Green Bay Packers | Vikings ρ=1.1281 | Packers δ=1.08 | Packers -3 |
Comments:
The Ravens have lost 3 in a row. That could extend to 4 unless either A) APR is very wrong about where it has the Ravens and Broncos ranked, or B) they get a fluke upset.
Titans over Jaguars? Maybe. The Jaguars have trouble when MJD doesn't get going, and the Titans seem to have an OK run defense. But what happens to the Titans' offense if Vince Young gets the start?
Eagles over Giants? Bigger upsets have happened. But the Eagles have to hold Westbrook out, don't they?
If the Vikings win this weekend, they will have a 3½ game lead (with the head-to-head tie breaker) over the Packers. The Packers really need to win to have much hope of winning the division this year.
Want to know something bad about living in Arizona? Every home game and every away game in the division the Cardinals play on Sunday afternoon gets scheduled in the late slot. Which means a lot of times we don't get to see the marquee FOX games that get scheduled at the same time.
