Read
this for a description of APR.
Read
this for some disclaimers about applying APR to the NCAA.
This is using a new margin power function (different from the function used for NFL games). This means that the power values are not comparable to the ones posted last year.
Official rankings will be added after they are published.
Rank | Team | W-L | Power Index | This week |
1 (↑1) | Florida BCS=1 | 7-0 | 7.5491 (LW × 1.016) | won by 10 at Mississippi-St |
2 (↓1) | Alabama BCS=2 | 8-0 | 7.2354 (LW × 0.961) | won by 2 vs Tennessee |
3 (-) | Texas BCS=3 | 7-0 | 7.1082 (LW × 1.011) | won by 24 at Missouri |
4 (↑3) | TCU BCS=6 | 7-0 | 6.3121 (LW × 1.136) | won by 31 at BYU |
5 (↓1) | Virginia-Tech BCS=13 | 5-2 | 6.1698 (LW × 1.013) | Bye |
6 (↑4) | Georgia-Tech BCS=11 | 7-1 | 6.0470 (LW × 1.157) | won by 25 at Virginia |
7 (↓2) | Iowa BCS=4 | 8-0 | 5.6931 (LW × 0.975) | won by 2 at Michigan-St |
8 (↑3) | Oregon BCS=10 | 6-1 | 5.6466 (LW × 1.089) | won by 24 at Washington |
9 (↑7) | Oklahoma | 4-3 | 5.4988 (LW × 1.286) | won by 22 at Kansas |
10 (↓2) | USC BCS=5 | 6-1 | 5.2348 (LW × 0.951) | won by 6 vs Oregon-St |
11 (↓5) | Texas-Tech | 5-3 | 5.0575 (LW × 0.902) | lost by 22 vs Texas-A&M |
12 (↓3) | Cincinnati BCS=8 | 7-0 | 5.0185 (LW × 0.950) | won by 31 vs Louisville |
13 (-) | Arkansas | 3-4 | 4.9873 (LW × 1.008) | lost by 13 at Mississippi |
14 (↑10) | LSU BCS=9 | 6-1 | 4.9021 (LW × 1.239) | won by 21 vs Auburn |
15 (↓1) | Miami-FL BCS=19 | 5-2 | 4.8947 (LW × 0.991) | lost by 3 vs Clemson |
16 (↑9) | Penn-St BCS=12 | 7-1 | 4.8428 (LW × 1.226) | won by 25 at Michigan |
17 (↓5) | Boise-St BCS=7 | 7-0 | 4.8303 (LW × 0.964) | won by 45 at Hawaii |
18 (-) | Clemson | 4-3 | 4.7584 (LW × 1.139) | won by 3 at Miami-FL |
19 (↑12) | Oklahoma-St BCS=14 | 6-1 | 4.6779 (LW × 1.259) | won by 27 at Baylor |
20 (↑21) | Mississippi BCS=25 | 5-2 | 4.5543 (LW × 1.387) | won by 13 vs Arkansas |
21 (↑9) | Pittsburgh BCS=15 | 7-1 | 4.4826 (LW × 1.203) | won by 27 vs South-Florida |
22 (↑1) | Ohio-St BCS=17 | 6-2 | 4.3937 (LW × 1.102) | won by 31 vs Minnesota |
23 (↓6) | Tennessee | 3-4 | 4.3739 (LW × 1.044) | lost by 2 at Alabama |
24 (↑54) | Texas-A&M | 4-3 | 4.3423 (LW × 2.141) | won by 22 at Texas-Tech |
25 (↓3) | Notre-Dame BCS=23 | 5-2 | 4.2533 (LW × 1.050) | won by 4 vs Boston-Coll |
26 (↑3) | Arizona BCS=20 | 5-2 | 4.2308 (LW × 1.125) | won by 14 vs UCLA |
27 (↑36) | Kansas-St | 5-3 | 4.1263 (LW × 1.606) | won by 14 vs Colorado |
28 (-) | Houston BCS=18 | 6-1 | 4.0444 (LW × 1.060) | won by 23 vs SMU |
29 (↓14) | Kansas | 5-2 | 4.0051 (LW × 0.846) | lost by 22 vs Oklahoma |
30 (↓11) | Nebraska | 4-3 | 3.9915 (LW × 0.959) | lost by 2 vs Iowa-St |
Other notable teams: | ||||
31 (↓11) | West-Virginia BCS=21 | 6-1 | 3.9646 (LW × 0.963) | won by 4 vs Connecticut |
33 (↓7) | California BCS=24 | 5-2 | 3.7077 (LW × 0.962) | won by 32 vs Washington-St |
41 (↑3) | Utah BCS=16 | 6-1 | 3.2820 (LW × 1.046) | won by 7 vs Air-Force |
44 (↑5) | South-Carolina BCS=22 | 6-2 | 3.1103 (LW × 1.040) | won by 4 vs Vanderbilt |
Comments:
Note there is a major drop-off of power from #3 to #4. TCU would need another 13% increase to overtake where Texas is now.
Arkansas is getting an enormous amount of power from their last three games (beat Auburn, lost by 2 @ Florida, lost by 13 @ Mississippi).
And Texas A&M is getting an enormous amount of power from their win over Texas Tech (nearly three times as much as their next-most powerful game).
UCLA played Arizona as close as they did thanks to the Wildcats giving up 3 interceptions and 2 fumbles. With Washington State, Cal, and ASU coming up, Arizona has a decent shot to get to 8 wins this season.
Congratulations to the Arizona Wildcats for their BCS ranking! They've got a bye next week, so they've got at least two more weeks to enjoy it.
California seems like a pretty shaky team to be ranked. Two big-time losses to Oregon and USC are not a good sign.