Tuesday, October 6, 2009

NFL Week 4 Power Rankings

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Read this for a description of APR.

Power Rankings For Week 4

RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (↑3)New Orleans
Saints
4-05.3258
(LW × 1.365)
won by 14
vs Jets
2 (-)Indianapolis
Colts
4-04.9442
(LW × 1.250)
won by 17
vs Seahawks
3 (↓2)New York
Jets
3-14.0453
(LW × 1.003)
lost by 14
at Saints
4 (↓1)Minnesota
Vikings
4-03.9325
(LW × 1.008)
won by 7
vs Packers
5 (↑6)New England
Patriots
3-13.4373
(LW × 1.428)
won by 6
vs Ravens
6 (↑2)Arizona
Cardinals
1-23.3676
(LW × 1.228)
Bye
7 (↓2)Denver
Broncos
4-03.1169
(LW × 0.866)
won by 7
vs Cowboys
8 (↓2)San Francisco
49ers
3-13.0286
(LW × 1.067)
won by 35
vs Rams
9 (↓2)Cincinnati
Bengals
3-12.9346
(LW × 1.047)
won by 3
at Browns
10 (↑4)Atlanta
Falcons
2-12.7938
(LW × 1.454)
Bye
11 (↑7)Chicago
Bears
3-12.6804
(LW × 1.467)
won by 24
vs Lions
12 (↑3)Jacksonville
Jaguars
2-22.6725
(LW × 1.410)
won by 20
vs Titans
13 (↓4)Baltimore
Ravens
3-12.4398
(LW × 0.942)
lost by 6
at Patriots
14 (↓4)Green Bay
Packers
2-22.3366
(LW × 0.959)
lost by 7
at Vikings
15 (↑4)Pittsburgh
Steelers
2-22.2800
(LW × 1.252)
won by 10
vs Chargers
16 (↓3)Philadelphia
Eagles
2-12.0526
(LW × 1.035)
Bye
17 (↑3)San Diego
Chargers
2-22.0350
(LW × 1.125)
lost by 10
at Steelers
18 (↑6)Miami
Dolphins
1-32.0249
(LW × 1.693)
won by 28
vs Bills
19 (↓7)New York
Giants
4-01.9541
(LW × 0.956)
won by 11
at Chiefs
20 (↓3)Dallas
Cowboys
2-21.6884
(LW × 0.918)
lost by 7
at Broncos
21 (↓5)Buffalo
Bills
1-31.6691
(LW × 0.890)
lost by 28
at Dolphins
22 (↑1)Houston
Texans
2-21.5720
(LW × 1.304)
won by 23
vs Raiders
23 (↓1)Seattle
Seahawks
1-31.3534
(LW × 1.102)
lost by 17
at Colts
24 (↓3)Detroit
Lions
1-31.3038
(LW × 0.937)
lost by 24
at Bears
25 (↑1)Tennessee
Titans
0-41.2026
(LW × 1.145)
lost by 20
at Jaguars
26 (↑2)Cleveland
Browns
0-41.1677
(LW × 1.244)
lost by 3
vs Bengals
27 (↓2)Oakland
Raiders
1-30.9389
(LW × 0.873)
lost by 23
at Texans
28 (↓1)Washington
Redskins
2-20.9284
(LW × 0.932)
won by 3
vs Buccaneers
29 (↑2)St. Louis
Rams
0-40.6983
(LW × 1.271)
lost by 35
at 49ers
30 (↑2)Carolina
Panthers
0-30.6897
(LW × 1.275)
Bye
31 (↓2)Kansas City
Chiefs
0-40.6433
(LW × 1.045)
lost by 11
vs Giants
32 (↓2)Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
0-40.5488
(LW × 0.950)
lost by 3
at Redskins

Comments

  • The Jets' power index actually increased (a little), but not nearly enough to stay ahead of the Saints or Colts

  • Every team the Cardinals have played won this weekend, and they reap the benefits (at least as far as APR is concerned).

  • The Broncos were actually pretty good last year—when their defense had a good game. So far this year, their defense has been playing very well (the Cowboys were the first team to score even 10 points on them).

  • Very much like last year, the Giants start off with an undefeated record against a series of weak teams.

Teams ESPN likes more than APR:

Giants (+17)
Yeah, they're 4-0, but their opponents are a combined 4-12. The only team they've played ranked higher than #28 (by APR) is the #20 Cowboys. Maybe they're underrated, but shouldn't a good team be able to beat a bad team like the Chiefs by mor than 11 points?

Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

Cardinals (-13)
The case here is tougher. But the teams the Cardinals have played are a combined 9-3, with two of them (Colts and 49ers) ranked in the top 10. Still, I agree that #6 seems like a very high ranking for a 1-2 team.

Surprisingly, APR has only 6 teams more than 4 spots away from ESPN's rankings. Along with the Giants and Cardinals, the Ravens, Eagles, and Redskins are +6, and the Jaguars are -6.