Sunday, October 11, 2009

NCAA: APR's Top 30+, Week 6

2009 Navigation Links

Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for some disclaimers about applying APR to the NCAA.

This is using a new margin power function (different from the function used for NFL games). This means that the power values are not comparable to the ones posted last year.

Official rankings will be added after they are published.

RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (-)Alabama
AP=2
6-08.0997
(LW × 1.203)
won by 19
at Mississippi
2 (↑3)Florida
AP=1
5-07.3533
(LW × 1.427)
won by 10
at LSU
3 (↑1)Virginia-Tech
AP=4
5-16.6194
(LW × 1.267)
won by 34
vs Boston-Coll
4 (↑27)Arkansas
AP=rv(16)
3-25.6156
(LW × 1.668)
won by 21
vs Auburn
5 (↓2)Texas
AP=3
5-05.5783
(LW × 1.047)
won by 24
vs Colorado
6 (-)Kansas
AP=17
5-05.4829
(LW × 1.066)
won by 5
vs Iowa-St
7 (↑4)Boise-St
AP=5
5-05.4273
(LW × 1.160)
Bye
8 (↑7)Nebraska
AP=15
4-15.3657
(LW × 1.233)
won by 15
at Missouri
9 (↓7)Iowa
AP=11
6-05.1204
(LW × 0.841)
won by 2
vs Michigan
10 (↓3)USC
AP=6
4-15.1063
(LW × 1.052)
Bye
11 (↑5)Cincinnati
AP=8
5-04.9902
(LW × 1.178)
Bye
12 (↑5)Oregon
AP=13
5-14.8997
(LW × 1.199)
won by 14
at UCLA
13 (-)TCU
AP=12
5-04.5981
(LW × 1.042)
won by 3
at Air-Force
14 (↑6)Ohio-St
AP=7
5-14.5796
(LW × 1.143)
won by 18
vs Wisconsin
15 (↑3)Notre-Dame
AP=25
4-14.4521
(LW × 1.092)
Bye
16 (↓7)Miami-FL
AP=9
4-14.4323
(LW × 0.939)
won by 32
vs Florida-A&M
17 (↑36)Tennessee3-34.3208
(LW × 1.682)
won by 26
vs Georgia
18 (↑3)Oklahoma
AP=20
3-24.3189
(LW × 1.098)
won by 26
vs Baylor
19 (↓5)South-Florida
AP=21
5-04.1892
(LW × 0.950)
Bye
20 (↓10)Auburn
AP=rv(55)
5-14.1736
(LW × 0.885)
lost by 21
at Arkansas
21 (↓13)Stanford
AP=rv(1)
4-24.0623
(LW × 0.856)
lost by 10
at Oregon-St
22 (↓10)LSU
AP=10
5-13.9589
(LW × 0.872)
lost by 10
vs Florida
23 (↑24)Oregon-St
AP=rv(2)
4-23.8849
(LW × 1.453)
won by 10
vs Stanford
24 (↓1)Pittsburgh
AP=rv(58)
5-13.8294
(LW × 1.017)
won by 3
vs Connecticut
25 (↓3)Georgia-Tech
AP=19
5-13.7883
(LW × 0.985)
won by 5
at Florida-St
26 (-)Washington3-33.7727
(LW × 1.049)
won by 3
vs Arizona
27 (↓8)Georgia3-33.7654
(LW × 0.936)
lost by 26
at Tennessee
28 (↑15)Michigan
AP=rv(5)
4-23.6829
(LW × 1.297)
lost by 2
at Iowa
29 (↓5)Wisconsin
AP=rv(27)
5-13.6343
(LW × 0.981)
lost by 18
at Ohio-St
30 (↑7)West-Virginia
AP=rv(46)
4-13.5923
(LW × 1.121)
won by 21
at Syracuse

Other Notable Teams:
32 (-)Arizona
AP=rv(5)
3-23.4392
(LW × 1.029)
lost by 3
at Washington
33 (↓4)Missouri
AP=rv(25)
4-13.4220
(LW × 0.990)
lost by 15
vs Nebraska
34 (↓1)BYU
AP=18
5-13.4104
(LW × 1.023)
won by 38
at UNLV
40 (↑9)Utah
AP=24
4-13.1843
(LW × 1.199)
won by 7
at Colorado-St
43 (↓3)Houston
AP=23
4-13.0552
(LW × 0.989)
won by 7
at Mississippi-St
46 (↓1)Mississippi
AP=rv(28)
3-23.0134
(LW × 1.111)
lost by 19
vs Alabama
47 (↓5)Texas-Tech
AP=rv(1)
4-23.0087
(LW × 1.032)
won by 52
vs Kansas-St
48 (↓14)Penn-St
AP=14
5-12.9574
(LW × 0.906)
won by 49
vs Eastern-Illinois
49 (↑3)Navy
AP=rv(1)
4-22.9457
(LW × 1.141)
won by 49
at Rice
51 (↓15)South-Carolina
AP=22
5-12.9001
(LW × 0.890)
won by 2
vs Kentucky
54 (↓3)Idaho
AP=rv(1)
5-12.7292
(LW × 1.043)
won by 4
at San-Jose-St
69 (↓3)Cent-Michigan
AP=rv(6)
5-12.2255
(LW × 1.007)
won by 48
vs East-Michigan

Comments:

  • Iowa gets another close home win against a lesser-ranked team, and again pays the price (not as much as if they had lost, of course).

  • Florida gets a solid road win over a high-ranked opponent, and they get their highest ranking as a result.

  • Should Arkansas be #4? They looked a lot more like a ranked team than Auburn for the part of that game I saw.

  • Arizona managed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory in dramatic fashion Saturday. Arizona lead for most of the second half, and were leading by 12 with 4:15 left in the 4th quarter. But they let Washington drive for a touchdown, and gave up a pick-6 on the first play of the following drive.

  • Navy, Idaho and Central Michigan? Really? Seriously, these teams haven't beaten anybody