Tuesday, October 2, 2012

NFL Week 4 Pick Results

Winning team in bold.

Unanimous Picks (8-2)


Patriots @ Bills
Chargers @ Chiefs
Browns @ Ravens
Titans @ Texans
Panthers @ Falcons
Saints @ Packers
Dolphins @ Cardinals
Raiders @ Broncos


Seahawks @ Rams
The Rams' offense still isn't very good, but they're good enough to get a win when their defense gets 3 interceptions and holds their opponent to 13 points. Meanwhile, the Seahawks have only scored more than 16 points in one game, and Pete Carroll sounds like he is wishing he had made a different choice for his starting quarterback.
Redskins @ Buccaneers
The Buccaneers' defense really broke down in this game, allowing the Redskins to sprint out to a 21-3 lead. Then, when the Bucs managed to claw their way back to a 1-point lead, their defense couldn't get one more stop to secure the win.

Split Picks: (APR: 3-2, SRS: 2-3, Line: 3-2)

Vikings (APR, SRS) @ Lions (Line)
The Lions gave up two more touchdowns on special teams. Their offense only managed 55 yards rushing. Matt Stafford threw incomplete 21 times, and was sacked 5 times. The Lions are just not a good team right now.
Giants (SRS) @ Eagles (APR, Line)
The Giants' defense only forced 2 sacks, gave up nearly 200 rushing yards, and didn't get a turnover from an Eagles' squad that lost 15 turnovers in its first 3 games. That's a problem for games like this one, where the Giants' offense only puts up 17 points.
Bengals (Line) @ Jaguars (APR, SRS)
I'm willing to stipulate that APR had the Bengals under-rated at #21 in the week 3 power rankings. And the Jaguars aren't a very good team, especially when Maurice Jones-Drew only has 38 yards rushing.
Bears (APR, SRS) @ Cowboys (Line)
So remember how I said the Bears' defense thrives on turnovers in the game picks? Yeah, that.
49ers (Line) @ Jets (APR, SRS)
The Jets' day on offense: 2 lost fumbles, an interception, and 8 punts. Their longest drive was just 30 yards. They never attempted a 4th-down conversion. The Jets could be looking at a long, ugly season this year.


A much better week all around.

APR 11-4 25-2253.2%
SRS 10-5 24-2351.2%
Line 11-4 28-1959.6%