Tuesday, April 8, 2008

Arena Fooball Week 7 picks

Here are the picks for Arena football, week 7.
  • APR is the algorithm used to generate the power rankings posted below. It is a feedback system similar to SRS. The ρ value is the ratio of the higher-ranked team over the lower ranked team. A ρ near 1 means APR thinks the teams are evenly matched; a higher value (like Chicago @ KC) means APR thinks it's a mismatch.
  • SRS is the Simple Ranking System, ITP is the Isaacson Tarbell Predictor, and Home is just the Home team. These are all discussed in this post. For SRS, the δ value is the difference of the higher ranked team and the lower ranked team.
GameAPRSRSITPHome
Colorado Crush @
Cleveland Gladiators
Colorado
ρ=1.0090
Colorado
δ=4.435
ClevelandCleveland
New Orleans VooDoo @
Dallas Desperados
New Orleans
ρ=1.0205
New Orleans
δ=6.8444
DallasDallas
Utah Blaze @
Los Angeles Avengers
Los Angeles
ρ=1.0770
Los Angeles
δ=0.8719
Los AngelesLos Angeles
Philadelphia Soul @
San Jose SaberCats
Philadelphia
ρ=1.2410
Philadelphia
δ=18.6038
PhiladelphiaSan Jose
Orlando Predators @
Grand Rapids Rampage
Orlando
ρ=1.1958
Orlando
δ=8.3751
OrlandoGrand Rapids
Arizona Rattlers @
Tampa Bay Storm
Tampa Bay
ρ=1.1124
Tampa Bay
δ=10.5334
Tampa BayTampa Bay
Columbus Destroyers @
New York Dragons
Columbus
ρ=1.0605
Columbus
δ=4.1017
New YorkNew York
Chicago Rush @
Kansas City Brigade
Chicago
ρ=1.5234
Chicago
δ=34.4201
ChicagoKansas City
The Georgia Force are on a Bye this week.