Wednesday, January 21, 2009

NFL: Playoff Seeds of Super Bowl Teams

The playoff seeding system was started in 1975. Since then, every Super Bowl has featured at least one #1- or #2-seeded team.

In the following table, #1 and #2 seeded teams are bolded. Years marked with a '*' are ones with no #1 seeded team. As usual, the year refers to when the regular season started; the actual Super Bowls are played the following calendar year.

YearWinnerLoser
1975Steelers #1Cowboys #4
1976Raiders #1Vikings #1
1977Cowboys #1Broncos #1
1978Steelers #1Cowboys #2
1979Steelers #2Rams #3*
1980Raiders #4Eagles #2*
198149ers #1Bengals #1
1982Redskins #1Dolphins #2
1983Raiders #1Redskins #1
198449ers #1Dolphins #1
1985Bears #1Patriots #5
1986Giants #1Broncos #2
1987Redskins #3Broncos #1
198849ers #2Bengals #1
198949ers #1Broncos #1
1990Giants #2Bills #1
1991Redskins #1Bills #1
1992Cowboys #2Bills #4*
1993Cowboys #1Bills #1
199449ers #1Chargers #2
1995Cowboys #1Steelers #2
1996Packers #1Patriots #2
1997Broncos #4Packers #2*
1998Broncos #1Falcons #2
1999Rams #1Titans #4
2000Ravens #4Giants #1
2001Patriots #2Rams #1
2002Buccaneers #2Raiders #1
2003Patriots #1Panthers #3
2004Patriots #2Eagles #1
2005Steelers #6Seahawks #1
2006Colts #3Bears #1
2007Giants #5Patriots #1
2008Steelers #2 Cardinals #4*

Comments:

  • There's certainly evidence in this list that high playoff seeds aren't as valuable as they used to be:

  • There were 8 #1-vs-#1 matchups 1975 to 1993 (19 seasons).

  • There were 0 #1-vs-#1 matchups 1994 to 2008 (15 seasons).

  • Counting this year, we are on a stretch of 5 Super Bowls not won by a #1 seed. The longest such strech before 2000 was just two years (1979-1980, and 1987-1988).