Wednesday, October 13, 2010

NFL: Week 6 Game Picks

Update: still no line for Dolphins @ Packers on yahoo, but footballlocks has Packers -3½, so I'm going with that.

GameAPRSRSLine
Browns @
Steelers
Steelers
ρ=1.3230
Steelers
δ=15.1
Steelers
-14
Jets @
Broncos
Jets
ρ=1.2212
Jets
δ=9.4
Jets
-3
Titans @
Jaguars
Titans
ρ=1.2155
Titans
δ=16.5
Titans
-3
Colts @
Redskins
Colts
ρ=1.1736
Colts
δ=7.7
Colts
-3
Seahawks @
Bears
Bears
ρ=1.1683
Bears
δ=7.8
Bears
-6
Dolphins @
Packers
Packers
ρ=1.1485
Packers
δ=10.7
Packers
Falcons @
Eagles
Falcons
ρ=1.1404
Falcons
δ=3.8
Eagles
-3
Chiefs @
Texans
Chiefs
ρ=1.1396
Chiefs
δ=7.6
Texans
-4½
Ravens @
Patriots
Ravens
ρ=1.1346
Ravens
δ=2.6
Patriots
-2½
Saints @
Buccaneers
Buccaneers
ρ=1.1039
Buccaneers
δ=5.9
Saints
-4½
Raiders @
49ers
Raiders
ρ=1.0951
Raiders
δ=3.8
49ers
-6½
Lions @
Giants
Giants
ρ=1.0695
Lions
δ=0.7
Giants
-10
Chargers @
Rams
Chargers
ρ=1.0313
Chargers
δ=8.5
Chargers
-8½
Cowboys @
Vikings
Vikings
ρ=1.0074
Cowboys
δ=1.3
Vikings
-1½

Bye: Cardinals, Bills, Panthers, Bengals

Comments:

  • Only 6 unanimous picks this week (7, if the line comes out in favor of the Packers).

  • No line yet on Dolphins @ Packers, presumably because there hasn't been any word on whether Rodgers or Flynn will start at QB.

  • Either the Cowboys or Vikings will fall to 1-4 this week, and will be a long way away from contending for even the bottom wildcard spot. The other will still be at 2-3, but with a win and only one game under 0.500, at least a chance to claw back into the playoff race.

  • Can the Saints beat the Buccaneers? Neither team is the same as they were last season. And (as detailed in earlier posts), the Saints have looked really weak so far this season.

  • If the 49ers lose to the Raiders, does Singletary last another week? They'll be 0-6 which as we saw last year, is not good news.