| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys @ Giants | Giants ρ=1.2271 | Giants δ=12.9 | Giants -14 |
| Panthers @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers* ρ=1.2103 | Buccaneers δ=7.5 | Buccaneers -6½ |
| Chiefs @ Broncos | Chiefs ρ=1.1922 | Chiefs* δ=11.2 | Chiefs -1 |
| Bengals @ Colts | Colts ρ=1.1851 | Colts δ=7.9 | Colts -7½ |
| Lions @ Bills | Lions ρ=1.1411 | Lions* δ=12.4 | Bills -2½ |
| Titans @ Dolphins | Titans ρ=1.1262 | Titans* δ=10.9 | Titans -1 |
| Jets @ Browns | Jets ρ=1.1043 | Jets* δ=5.3 | Jets -3 |
| Eagles @ Redskins | Eagles ρ=1.0995 | Eagles* δ=5.0 | Eagles -3 |
| Rams @ 49ers | Rams* ρ=1.0732 | Rams* δ=3.3 | 49ers -6 |
| Patriots @ Steelers | Steelers ρ=1.0631 | Steelers δ=3.5 | Steelers -4½ |
| Ravens @ Falcons | Ravens ρ=1.0504 | Ravens* δ=0.5 | Falcons -1 |
| Texans @ Jaguars | Texans ρ=1.0301 | Texans* δ=5.4 | Jaguars -1 |
| Seahawks @ Cardinals | Cardinals ρ=1.0215 | Seahawks* δ=0.9 | Cardinals -3 |
| Vikings @ Bears | Vikings ρ=1.0195 | Vikings* δ=0.1 | Vikings -1 |
Bye: Packers, Saints, Raiders, Chargers
Comments:
As usual, *'s mean disagreement between the regular and VH-versions of the picking method.
Thursday games start this week. Be sure to get your picks in on time!
SRS-VH disagrees with SRS on all but 4 games. That seems... excessive. Well, I did say this was an experimental feature. Perhaps some kind of fudge-factor can make the VH picks more accurate.
Hey, the Bills are favored to win a game! Even SRS-VH likes them! I suspect that would be different if the Lions had a healthy quarterback to take the field.
The Falcons have done pretty well so far this season, but they've also lost when facing teams higher up the power rankings. Normally, I would say the Ravens win this game easily. But it can be very tough for the road team on Thursday games, and maybe that will be enough to tip things the Falcons' way.
