| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders @ Falcons | Falcons ρ=1.4177 | Falcons δ=23.1 | Falcons -9 |
| Bills @ Cardinals | Cardinals ρ=1.2888 | Cardinals δ=18.5 | Cardinals -4½ |
| Bengals @ Browns | Bengals ρ=1.2539 | Bengals* δ=6.0 | Bengals -1 |
| Steelers @ Titans | Steelers* ρ=1.1902 | Steelers* δ=10.8 | Steelers -5 |
| Giants @ 49ers | 49ers ρ=1.1731 | 49ers δ=11.4 | 49ers -5 |
| Packers @ Texans | Texans ρ=1.1707 | Texans δ=3.9 | Texans -3½ |
| Vikings @ Redskins | Vikings ρ=1.1540 | Vikings* δ=8.0 | Redskins -1½ |
| Chiefs @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers ρ=1.1485 | Buccaneers δ=9.5 | Buccaneers -3 |
| Broncos @ Chargers | Broncos ρ=1.1412 | Broncos* δ=9.2 | Chargers -1 |
| Cowboys @ Ravens | Ravens ρ=1.1046 | Ravens δ=3.7 | Ravens -3½ |
| Rams @ Dolphins | Rams* ρ=1.0809 | Rams* δ=7.4 | Dolphins -3 |
| Lions @ Eagles | Eagles ρ=1.0429 | Lions* δ=3.7 | Eagles -4½ |
| Colts @ Jets | Colts* ρ=1.0229 | Colts* δ=5.6 | Jets -3 |
| Patriots @ Seahawks | Patriots* ρ=1.0215 | Patriots* δ=2.2 | Patriots -3½ |
Bye: Jaguars, Saints, Bears, Panthers
Comments:
This is the first game since the 2010 playoffs the Packers haven't been favored by the line.
The Bills @ Cardinals game feels like one the Cardinals could run away with, especially if they get some scores on defense and special teams.
The Giants could have a tough time this week. They needed overtime (and a couple recovered fumbles) to beat the 49ers in the playoffs last season, and the 49ers seem to be much improved since then.
Colts over the Jets is an interesting upset pick. Even with Revis out, the Jets' defensive problems have been more with rushing than passing. I wonder if the Colts will be willing to go with a more run-heavy game plan to try to exploit that?
