| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars @ Packers | Packers ρ=1.3643 | Packers δ=21.4 | Packers -13 |
| Panthers @ Bears | Bears ρ=1.3039 | Bears δ=16.0 | Bears -9 |
| Buccaneers @ Vikings | Vikings ρ=1.2035 | Vikings δ=2.1 | Vikings -6½ |
| Saints @ Broncos | Broncos ρ=1.2024 | Broncos δ=8.9 | Broncos -6 |
| Falcons @ Eagles | Falcons ρ=1.1763 | Falcons* δ=9.8 | Eagles -1½ |
| Raiders @ Chiefs | Raiders ρ=1.1545 | Raiders* δ=4.1 | Chiefs -1 |
| 49ers @ Cardinals | 49ers ρ=1.1330 | 49ers* δ=10.3 | 49ers -7 |
| Giants @ Cowboys | Giants ρ=1.1194 | Giants* δ=8.8 | Giants -1 |
| Chargers @ Browns | Chargers ρ=1.1149 | Chargers* δ=5.7 | Chargers -3 |
| Seahawks @ Lions | Seahawks ρ=1.0979 | Seahawks* δ=6.1 | Lions -3 |
| Patriots @ Rams | Patriots ρ=1.0789 | Patriots* δ=3.5 | Patriots -7 |
| Colts @ Titans | Colts* ρ=1.0299 | Colts* δ=6.1 | Titans -3½ |
| Redskins @ Steelers | Steelers ρ=1.0142 | Redskins* δ=5.2 | Steelers -5 |
| Dolphins @ Jets | Dolphins* ρ=1.0000 | Dolphins* δ=0.2 | Jets -2½ |
Bye: Ravens, Bills, Texans, Bengals
Comments:
Wow, week 8 already. Time flies.
4 of the Falcons' 6 wins have come against the not-very-impressive AFC West. So it's not a huge stretch to suppose the Eagles can give them their first loss. On the other hand, one of the reasons the Falcons have been winning is their defense has been getting lots of turnovers...
So apparently Brady Quinn is now the Chiefs' starting quarterback. This is the guy who couldn't beat out Derek Anderson for the start in Cleveland, or Kyle Orton in Denver. Adjust your expectations accordingly.
The Raiders have been pretty bad, but the Chiefs have been a disaster. I have no explanation for why the Line would favor the Chiefs this week.
APR rates Dolphins @ Jets a full-on toss up (well, at least out to 4 decimal places). If the Jets win, they'll have the head-to-head sweep over the Dolphins, which means the Dolphins will have a very hard time finishing better than 3rd in the AFC East this year.
Can the Lions beat the Seahawks? They really haven't looked very good this year, and will be facing another stout defense. The good news for the Lions is the Seahawks aren't nearly as good on the road, and if they can score 21 points, that could be more than the offensively-challenged Seahawks can match.
