Friday, November 2, 2012

NFL Q2 Strength of Schedule

RankTeamSOS
unplayed
RankSOS
played
1Vikings0.9820280.8642
2Cardinals0.964190.9219
3Saints0.9406200.8774
4Lions0.9399100.9211
5Bears0.9306230.8739
649ers0.9213130.9135
7Giants0.9159160.8873
8Rams0.915430.9484
9Packers0.9121110.9170
10Seahawks0.912060.9293
11Bills0.9113300.8585
12Buccaneers0.9096270.8656
13Ravens0.9026240.8732
14Titans0.9010140.9087
15Patriots0.8975180.8853
16Redskins0.8902120.9167
17Bengals0.8898290.8600
18Browns0.8887250.8725
19Eagles0.888380.9252
20Dolphins0.8870190.8827
21Chiefs0.8865210.8763
22Jaguars0.882770.9252
23Falcons0.8822310.8523
24Cowboys0.881810.9585
25Colts0.8795220.8760
26Texans0.8717150.8967
27Chargers0.8708320.8497
28Panthers0.870520.9522
29Jets0.862540.9410
30Steelers0.8561260.8699
31Raiders0.8504170.8862
32Broncos0.814950.9340

Comments:

  • These values do not include the result of the Thursday night Chiefs @ Chargers game.

  • Like I said earlier, it doesn't get any easier for the Vikings. They've got the biggest swing from easiest played to hardest unplayed.

  • The Packers have one of the 10-most difficult remaining schedules. But APR ranks it slightly easier than what they've already played, and the easiest of any team in the NFC North. If they can get healthy for the second half, they should have a chance to make a playoff run this year.

  • The Falcons have one of the easier remaining schedules, but APR ranks it noticibly harder than what they've already played. I'll be surprised if the Falcons go unbeaten, but barring a pretty spectacular collapse, they're going to win the NFC South, and have an inside track for a bye week in the playoffs.

  • The Bengals unplayed strength of schedule is ranked in the bottom half of the list, but it's still noticably harder than what they've played so far. And they still need 6 more wins to clinch a winning season.

  • The Steelers haven't had the most impressive season so far this year, but with the rest of the AFC North struggling, they could leverage an easy schedule into the top spot in their division.

  • The Broncos continue to have the easiest remaining schedule. Even with the Raiders one slot above them, I think the Broncos have a pretty clear shot to win the AFC West (assuming, of course, that Peyton Manning stays healthy).