| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs @ Steelers | Steelers ρ=1.4013 | Steelers δ=16.2 | Steelers -11 |
| Bills @ Patriots | Patriots ρ=1.2618 | Patriots δ=19.1 | Patriots -11 |
| Giants @ Bengals | Giants ρ=1.2154 | Giants* δ=13.9 | Giants -4 |
| Falcons @ Saints | Falcons ρ=1.1918 | Falcons* δ=8.9 | Falcons -2½ |
| Rams @ 49ers | 49ers ρ=1.1894 | 49ers δ=13.9 | 49ers -11 |
| Titans @ Dolphins | Dolphins ρ=1.1521 | Dolphins δ=12.9 | Dolphins -6 |
| Raiders @ Ravens | Ravens ρ=1.1430 | Ravens δ=8.7 | Ravens -7½ |
| Jets @ Seahawks | Seahawks ρ=1.1420 | Seahawks δ=6.3 | Seahawks -6½ |
| Colts @ Jaguars | Colts ρ=1.1401 | Colts* δ=5.9 | Colts -3 |
| Broncos @ Panthers | Broncos ρ=1.1341 | Broncos* δ=8.6 | Broncos -4 |
| Cowboys @ Eagles | Cowboys ρ=1.1135 | Cowboys* δ=7.0 | Cowboys -1 |
| Chargers @ Buccaneers | Buccaneers* ρ=1.0624 | Buccaneers δ=5.0 | Buccaneers -3 |
| Texans @ Bears | Bears* ρ=1.0431 | Bears δ=1.3 | Bears -1 |
| Lions @ Vikings | Lions ρ=1.0249 | Lions* δ=0.7 | Lions -1 |
Bye: Cardinals, Browns, Packers, Redskins
Comments:
For the first time in the (admittedly somewhat short) hisory of FSPI, a completely unanimous set of picks.
Should the Falcons be on upset alert this week? If that game really does come down to a 3-point difference, they will be in trouble until the last time their defense gets Drew Brees and the Saints offense off the field.
At the half-way point of their season, the Saints are already well on their way to breaking the 1981 Colts record for most yards allowed in a season. They haven't shown any sign of turning things around, and with all but two of their remaining games to be played inside, they can't rely on weather conditions to help slow down their opponents.
One of the reasons I'm not real big on the Colts is their loss (at home) to the Jaguars in week 3. If they really belong in the top half of the rankings, this is the kind of game the Colts need to win.
The Chargers couldn't even score 7 points on the hapless Browns a couple weeks ago. And with Doug Martin sparking the Buccaneers' offense, 3 points doesn't seem like a lot to give.
I was going to say it seems like the Broncos could make a blow-out of their game too, but the Panthers actually have one of the better pass defenses in the league, by pass yards allowed. Even with quarterbacks Drew Brees, Matt Ryan, and Eli Manning on their record, the Panthers are allowing just 224 passing yards per game.
