| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars @ Texans | Texans ρ=1.4787 | Texans δ=24.0 | Texans -15½ |
| Chargers @ Broncos | Broncos ρ=1.2423 | Broncos δ=11.9 | Broncos -7½ |
| Cardinals @ Falcons | Falcons ρ=1.2116 | Falcons δ=7.0 | Falcons -10 |
| Bengals @ Chiefs | Bengals ρ=1.2051 | Bengals* δ=10.9 | Bengals -3½ |
| Colts @ Patriots | Patriots ρ=1.1811 | Patriots δ=14.5 | Patriots -9½ |
| Browns @ Cowboys | Cowboys ρ=1.1736 | Cowboys δ=7.8 | Cowboys -7½ |
| Packers @ Lions | Packers ρ=1.1481 | Packers* δ=8.4 | Packers -3 |
| Saints @ Raiders | Saints ρ=1.1371 | Saints* δ=10.8 | Saints -4½ |
| Eagles @ Redskins | Redskins ρ=1.0759 | Redskins δ=4.9 | Redskins -3 |
| Buccaneers @ Panthers | Buccaneers ρ=1.0511 | Buccaneers* δ=4.6 | Buccaneers -1 |
| Jets @ Rams | Rams ρ=1.0458 | Rams δ=2.7 | Rams -3 |
| Bears @ 49ers | Bears ρ=1.0265 | Bears* δ=1.3 | 49ers -5 |
| Dolphins @ Bills | Dolphins ρ=1.0223 | Dolphins* δ=3.0 | Bills -1 |
| Ravens @ Steelers | Ravens* ρ=1.0091 | Ravens* δ=4.2 | Ravens -1 |
Bye: Giants, Titans, Vikings, Seahawks
Comments:
Peyton Manning hit 420 career touchdown passes last Sunday, which puts him in a tie for second all-time with Dan Marino. That's also 88 behind Brett Favre, so Manning is still around 3 solid seasons of play from breaking the record.
So, the Saints are 4-1 in their last 5, and everything's all better now? I don't think so. They've managed to pick off some weaker opponents, but they still have one of the league's worst defenses, and are still just 1-3 on the road. The Raiders have been playing tough at home, and I think Carson Palmer can take advantage of the Saints porous defense to pull out an upset.
The Cowboys have a chance to win back-to-back games for the first time this season. If they're going to have a shot at the playoffs, this next home stretch (Browns, Redskins, Eagles) is one they're going to have to win out.
Like last week's Texans @ Bears, the Bears @ 49ers should be another low-scoring game, probably turning on which quarterback can catch the opposing defense in a mistake.
It's come to this for the Dolphins—the line isn't even giving them a point over the Bills. The Bills haven't beaten anyone except the Chiefs, Browns, and the free-falling Cardinals.
