| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers @ Jaguars | 49ers ρ=1.4399 | 49ers* δ=24.0 | 49ers -16½ |
| Packers @ Vikings | Packers ρ=1.4205 | Packers* δ=18.1 | Packers -10 |
| Redskins @ Broncos | Broncos ρ=1.2907 | Broncos δ=16.6 | Broncos -13 |
| Seahawks @ Rams | Seahawks ρ=1.2865 | Seahawks* δ=15.8 | Seahawks -11 |
| Browns @ Chiefs | Chiefs ρ=1.2468 | Chiefs δ=12.5 | Chiefs -7½ |
| Panthers @ Buccaneers | Panthers ρ=1.2088 | Panthers* δ=14.3 | Panthers -6 |
| Bills @ Saints | Saints ρ=1.1922 | Saints δ=10.6 | Saints -12 |
| Jets @ Bengals | Bengals ρ=1.1527 | Bengals δ=7.2 | Bengals -6½ |
| Giants @ Eagles | Eagles* ρ=1.1161 | Eagles δ=7.5 | Eagles -6½ |
| Steelers @ Raiders | Raiders* ρ=1.0769 | Raiders δ=4.8 | Steelers -2½ |
| Dolphins @ Patriots | Patriots* ρ=1.0732 | Patriots δ=0.4 | Patriots -7 |
| Falcons @ Cardinals | Cardinals ρ=1.0478 | Cardinals δ=1.3 | Cardinals -2½ |
| Cowboys @ Lions | Cowboys ρ=1.0215 | Cowboys* δ=5.9 | Lions -3 |
Bye: Ravens, Chargers, Titans, Bears, Colts, Texans
Comments:
Only a couple split picks this week (Steelers @ Raiders and Cowboys @ Lions).
Reports are that the Vikings plan to start Josh Freeman again this week. It could be Leslie Frasier's job if he doesn't do better this week. (Although the way the Vikings have been playing, Frasier could be out at the end of the season anyway.)
Update: Late reports are that Josh Freeman has a concussion, and may not play Sunday night. Also, apparently Christian Ponder is next in line. Does that mean Matt Cassel is hurt too, or have the Vikings really soured on him that much? Ponder's first three starts sure weren't anything to write home about (at least not for Vikings fans). To my eye, Matt Cassel's numbers look better than Ponder's. Although Ponder did have some good games at the end of the season last year, so maybe the Vikings are hoping that will somehow return this week.
With Jermichael Finley out for a while (and maybe the season), the Packers are down to one experienced receiver (Jordy Nelson), unless James Jones can play this week. Second year player Jarrett Boykin had a very good game against the Browns on Sunday. It will help the Packers a lot if that turns out to be a trend, and not a fluke.
The good news for the Packers is none of their remaining opponents are more than a game over 0.500, so they should be able to finish strong even with a lot of inexperienced players at key positions.
For a team that was the #1 seed in the NFC last year, the Falcons have fallen a long way to be unanimously picked to lose to a struggling Cardinals team.
