| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaguars @ Titans | Titans ρ=1.3251 | Titans δ=18.9 | Titans -11 |
| Seahawks @ Falcons | Seahawks ρ=1.2383 | Seahawks* δ=13.0 | Seahawks -6 |
| Rams @ Colts | Colts ρ=1.2191 | Colts δ=11.0 | Colts -9½ |
| Eagles @ Packers | Packers ρ=1.1750 | Packers δ=8.1 | Packers -1 |
| Broncos @ Chargers | Broncos ρ=1.1748 | Broncos* δ=13.1 | Broncos -7 |
| Dolphins @ Buccaneers | Dolphins ρ=1.1711 | Dolphins* δ=6.3 | Dolphins -2½ |
| Texans @ Cardinals | Cardinals ρ=1.1405 | Cardinals δ=7.1 | Cardinals -1½ |
| Bengals @ Ravens | Bengals* ρ=1.1124 | Bengals* δ=5.8 | Bengals -1½ |
| Bills @ Steelers | Bills ρ=1.0788 | Bills* δ=5.3 | Steelers -3 |
| Redskins @ Vikings | Redskins ρ=1.0704 | Redskins* δ=3.2 | Redskins -2½ |
| Cowboys @ Saints | Saints ρ=1.0594 | Saints δ=1.8 | Saints -6½ |
| Lions @ Bears | Lions ρ=1.0582 | Lions* δ=2.1 | Lions -2½ |
| Raiders @ Giants | Giants* ρ=1.0512 | Giants δ=0.3 | Giants -7½ |
| Panthers @ 49ers | 49ers ρ=1.0194 | Panthers* δ=1.0 | 49ers -6 |
Bye: Patriots, Browns, Chiefs, Jets
Comments:
Another week of mostly agreement. Hopefully the unanimous picks will go a little better this week.
Barring a miracle (or another disaster) Seneca Wallace will be starting for the Packers on Sunday. He should do at least somewhat better with a week's worth of practice with the starters. But I think even under the best-case scenario, the Packers' defense will have to do a lot better than they did Monday night for them to have a chance.
- The Giants defense has not allowed any points in their last two games (their special teams did give up a couple touchdowns). I think they're going to need to keep up that same pace if they want to extend their winning streak to 3 games.
Once again, the Cardinals are unanimously favored to beat a preseason favorite. The good news for the Texans is, if they manage to get an 18 point lead, it will probably stick this time.
Picking the Panthers to upset the 49ers is not so crazy. The 49ers have't faced much in the way of competition since getting upset week 3 by the Colts. The Panthers are another team that could be better than their reputation, and the 49ers could be looking ahead to their week 11 matchup at the Saints.
