| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs @ Dolphins | Dolphins ρ=2.1764 | Dolphins δ=37.3 | Dolphins -4½ |
| Bears @ Jets | Bears ρ=1.7745 | Bears δ=34.7 | Jets -2½ |
| Titans @ Bengals | Bengals ρ=1.6820 | Bengals δ=16.3 | Bengals -6½ |
| Raiders @ Patriots | Patriots ρ=1.6064 | Patriots δ=23.4 | Patriots -14 |
| Texans @ Giants | Texans ρ=1.5697 | Texans* δ=28.0 | Texans -2 |
| Chargers @ Bills | Bills ρ=1.5286 | Bills δ=27.3 | Bills -2½ |
| Buccaneers @ Falcons | Falcons ρ=1.3513 | Falcons δ=8.9 | Falcons -6½ |
| Cowboys @ Rams | Cowboys ρ=1.3216 | Cowboys δ=26.5 | Cowboys -1½ |
| Broncos @ Seahawks | Seahawks ρ=1.2383 | Seahawks δ=10.8 | Seahawks -4½ |
| Ravens @ Browns | Ravens ρ=1.1953 | Ravens δ=18.0 | Ravens -2 |
| Steelers @ Panthers | Panthers ρ=1.0990 | Panthers δ=11.0 | Panthers -3 |
| 49ers @ Cardinals | 49ers ρ=1.0958 | 49ers* δ=16.6 | 49ers -2½ |
| Vikings @ Saints | Saints ρ=1.0447 | Vikings δ=6.5 | Saints -9½ |
| Colts @ Jaguars | Colts ρ=1.0430 | Colts δ=13.4 | Colts -6½ |
| Packers @ Lions | Lions ρ=1.0194 | Lions δ=6.9 | Lions -1 |
| Redskins @ Eagles | Redskins* ρ=1.0060 | Redskins* δ=9.9 | Eagles -6 |
Comments:
Lots of agreement again this week, although given how things came out last week, that's not necessarily a good sign.
Can the Chiefs come away with an upset this week? I don't think they're as bad as their 0-2 record, and without Knowshon Moreno, the Dolphins offense might be pretty anemic.
The Lions scored 35 points on the Giants, and then 7 points on the Panthers. So the question this week is, just how bad is the Packers defense, and can the Packer offense maintain the momentum they developed the last three quarters against the Jets? I feel like the Packers have a decent shot at an upset here.
The Broncos have known since last February they'd be playing the Seahawks in Seattle. But just to make it worse, the Seahawks are coming off a road loss, and really not wanting to fall to a 1-2 record. This could get very ugly for Denver.
And speaking of games that could get ugly, the 49ers are another team that would fall to 1-2 with a loss this week. And while the Cardinals' defense has been playing well, their offense has been struggling. More bad news, it doesn't really sound like Carson Palmer will be ready to play Sunday, which would mean another start for Drew Stanton, who struggled against the Giants last Sunday.
Maybe Drew Stanton struggled because the Giants have a good defense. Maybe Drew Stanton will do better in his second start. Maybe the Cardinals defense can carry the day. Or maybe the 49ers are just gonna clobber the Cardinals in their home stadium.
