| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos @ Rams | Broncos ρ=1.3326 | Broncos* δ=21.2 | Broncos -9 |
| Raiders @ Chargers | Chargers ρ=1.2296 | Chargers δ=11.5 | Chargers -10½ |
| Steelers @ Titans | Steelers ρ=1.2039 | Steelers* δ=7.9 | Steelers -5½ |
| Buccaneers @ Washington | Washington* ρ=1.1483 | Washington δ=10.8 | Washington -7 |
| 49ers @ Giants | 49ers ρ=1.1414 | 49ers* δ=3.9 | 49ers -4½ |
| Seahawks @ Chiefs | Chiefs ρ=1.1124 | Chiefs δ=4.2 | Chiefs -1½ |
| Lions @ Cardinals | Cardinals ρ=1.1026 | Cardinals δ=3.3 | Cardinals -2 |
| Bengals @ Saints | Saints ρ=1.0695 | Saints δ=2.5 | Saints -7 |
| Patriots @ Colts | Patriots ρ=1.0560 | Patriots* δ=0.6 | Colts -2½ |
| Eagles @ Packers | Eagles ρ=1.0554 | Eagles* δ=1.2 | Packers -5 |
| Bills @ Dolphins | Dolphins* ρ=1.0420 | Dolphins δ=4.5 | Dolphins -5 |
| Falcons @ Panthers | Panthers ρ=1.0279 | Falcons* δ=1.7 | Panthers -1½ |
| Texans @ Browns | Texans* ρ=1.0134 | Texans* δ=0.9 | Browns -3 |
| Vikings @ Bears | Bears* ρ=1.0054 | Vikings* δ=3.2 | Bears -3½ |
Bye: Ravens, Cowboys, Jaguars, Jets
Comments:
The 1963 Broncos and the 1966 Giants are the only (modern era) teams to give up 50 points in three games in a season, so the Bears have at least one bit of ignominy left to try to avoid the rest of their season.
Maybe I'm wrong, but it feels to me like 10½ is a lot of points for the Chargers to cover. Yeah, it's the Raiders, but the first game in this series was decided by 3 points, and that was the Raiders closest loss all season.
So far the Packers are 0-3 against playoff contending teams this season. If they're gonna make the playoffs, and do something in the playoffs, that's got to change, starting with this weeks contest against the Eagles.
The Eagles have one of the most turnover-prone offenses in the league (second only to the Jaguars), and the Packers offense is one of the best at forcing turnovers. If the Packers can avoid giving away the store on special teams, this is a game they should be able to win.
Patriots at Colts is an interesting matchup. I feel like the Colts are benefitting from a weak division and a relatively easy schedule. While the Patriots are more than 5 years into a stretch of mostly losing to good teams on the road.
