| Rank | Team | Power Index | W-L | This Week |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 (-) | Seahawks | 1.1173 (LW × 1.0115) | 14-4 | Won by 6 vs Packers |
| 2 (-) | Patriots | 1.0799 (LW × 1.0134) | 14-4 | Won by 38 vs Colts |
| 3 (-) | Packers | 1.0223 (LW × 1.0121) | 13-5 | Lost by 6 @ Seahawks |
| 4 (↑1) | Cowboys | 0.9860 (LW × 0.9987) | 13-5 | Bye |
| 5 (↑1) | Bills | 0.9847 (LW × 1.0035) | 9-7 | Bye |
| 6 (↓2) | Colts | 0.9682 (LW × 0.9782) | 13-6 | Lost by 38 @ Patriots |
| 7 (-) | Broncos | 0.9681 (LW × 0.9989) | 12-5 | Bye |
| 8 (-) | Ravens | 0.9641 (LW × 0.9988) | 11-7 | Bye |
| 9 (-) | Steelers | 0.9600 (LW × 0.9971) | 11-6 | Bye |
| 10 (-) | Chiefs | 0.9571 (LW × 1.0020) | 9-7 | Bye |
| 11 (-) | Eagles | 0.9384 (LW × 1.0005) | 10-6 | Bye |
| 12 (-) | Lions | 0.9156 (LW × 1.0039) | 11-6 | Bye |
| 13 (-) | Texans | 0.9049 (LW × 0.9933) | 9-7 | Bye |
| 14 (-) | Bengals | 0.8996 (LW × 0.9947) | 10-6-1 | Bye |
| 15 (-) | Cardinals | 0.8988 (LW × 1.0035) | 11-6 | Bye |
| 16 (-) | Dolphins | 0.8854 (LW × 1.0026) | 8-8 | Bye |
| 17 (-) | Rams | 0.8759 (LW × 1.0020) | 6-10 | Bye |
| 18 (-) | Panthers | 0.8721 (LW × 1.0022) | 8-9-1 | Bye |
| 19 (-) | Chargers | 0.8707 (LW × 1.0021) | 9-7 | Bye |
| 20 (-) | Vikings | 0.8596 (LW × 1.0031) | 7-9 | Bye |
| 21 (-) | Jets | 0.8483 (LW × 1.0026) | 4-12 | Bye |
| 22 (-) | Falcons | 0.8458 (LW × 1.0015) | 6-10 | Bye |
| 23 (-) | 49ers | 0.8436 (LW × 1.0027) | 8-8 | Bye |
| 24 (-) | Giants | 0.8353 (LW × 0.9980) | 6-10 | Bye |
| 25 (-) | Saints | 0.8177 (LW × 1.0006) | 7-9 | Bye |
| 26 (-) | Browns | 0.8121 (LW × 0.9961) | 7-9 | Bye |
| 27 (-) | Raiders | 0.8093 (LW × 1.0017) | 3-13 | Bye |
| 28 (-) | Bears | 0.7756 (LW × 1.0033) | 5-11 | Bye |
| 29 (-) | Jaguars | 0.7605 (LW × 0.9941) | 3-13 | Bye |
| 30 (-) | Buccaneers | 0.7485 (LW × 1.0012) | 2-14 | Bye |
| 31 (-) | Washington | 0.7405 (LW × 0.9977) | 4-12 | Bye |
| 32 (-) | Titans | 0.6826 (LW × 0.9946) | 2-14 | Bye |
Comments:
As I indicated in the game picks I wasn't expecting the Packers to win this. But perhaps except for a full-on blow out, I'm not sure they could've lost in a more disappointing manner.
The top 3 remain pretty much the same, the Colts drop out of the top 5 after getting blown out in their game. At least moderately surprisingly, there's no shuffling around in the lower ranks. Usually there's at least a couple teams close enough to switch ranks based on secondary effects.
Tom Brady will (presumably) start a record sixth Super Bowl (breaking the tie he was in with John Elway, who has five).
The Seahawks become the first team since the 2003-2004 Patriots to qualify for the Super Bowl in back-to-back seasons.
A number of teams have back-to-pack wins in the Super Bowl, there are also three that have lost on their return trip: the Cowboys in 1978, the Raiders in 1983, and the Packers in 1997. I'll have more to say in the Super Bowl game picks post, but I think the Seahawks have a chance be the fourth team in that win-loss group.
