Picks for the first round of the playoffs.
Another weakness of the "final score" style of power rankings: teams like Arizona (who has known their playoff seed since kickoff of their week 16 game) may look weaker than they really are.
Note that since Utah and Colorado are both 6-10, there will be a 6-10 team advance to the second round of the playoffs...
| Game | APR | SRS | ITP |
| New York Dragons @ Dallas Desperados | Desperados ρ=1.0655 | Desperados δ= 5.1 | Desperados |
| Colorado Crush @ Utah Blaze | Blaze ρ=1.0890 | Blaze δ= 3.5 | Blaze |
| Orlando Predators @ Cleveland Gladiators | Gladiators ρ=1.0529 | Gladiators δ= 0.5 | Gladiators |
| Grand Rapids Rampage @ Arizona Rattlers | Rampage ρ=1.0277 | Rampage δ= 2.6 | Rattlers |
