Tuesday, September 30, 2008

NFL Week 4 Power Rankings

  • Another week, another team at #1. Though to be sure, if the Cowboys had won, they would have stayed on top.

  • Other than the Jets, no teams move by more than 8 spots. Last week, 4 teams moved by 10 or more.

  • Nobody's really dominating (yet) like the Patriots and Colts did last year.

  • There is a massive drop-off from the #30 Bengals to the #31 Rams.

  • Teams ESPN likes more than APR:
    Steelers (+12), Jaguars (+10), Giants (+9)
    I think all of these teams are getting a lot of credit for last year's successes.

  • Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

    • Dolphins (-11): going into Foxboro and getting a win on the Patriots (even without Tom Brady) is huge, but ESPN still has the Dolphins at #26.

    • Bears (-10): Wins over the Colts and a very tough-looking Eagles, with close losses against the Buccaneers and Panthers. Maybe not top 10, but isn't that worth more than the #18 spot?

    • Saints (-9): The Saints have a win over the Buccaneers, and close losses against the Broncos and Redskins. The NFC South is starting to look like a very tough division this year.

RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1
(LW-4)
Washington
Redskins
3-11.4771
(LW * 1.006)
won by 2
at Cowboys
2
(LW-5)
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
3-11.4730
(LW * 1.022)
won by 9
vs Packers
3
(LW+1)
Tennessee
Titans
4-01.4607
(LW * 0.951)
won by 13
vs Vikings
4
(LW-8)
San Diego
Chargers
2-21.4567
(LW * 1.094)
won by 10
at Raiders
5
(LW+4)
Dallas
Cowboys
3-11.4381
(LW * 0.933)
lost by 2
vs Redskins
6
(LW-8)
Carolina
Panthers
3-11.4189
(LW * 1.078)
won by 15
vs Falcons
7
(LW+3)
New Orleans
Saints
2-21.4129
(LW * 0.948)
won by 14
vs 49ers
8
(LW-3)
Chicago
Bears
2-21.3899
(LW * 1.027)
won by 4
vs Eagles
9
(LW-4)
Philadelphia
Eagles
2-21.3688
(LW * 1.029)
lost by 4
at Bears
10
(LW+2)
New York
Giants
3-01.3687
(LW * 0.950)
Bye
11
(LW+8)
Denver
Broncos
3-11.3666
(LW * 0.893)
lost by 14
at Chiefs
12
(LW+2)
Buffalo
Bills
4-01.3295
(LW * 0.964)
won by 17
at Rams
13
(LW-14)
New York
Jets
2-21.3128
(LW * 1.249)
won by 21
vs Cardinals
14
(LW+8)
Arizona
Cardinals
2-21.3125
(LW * 0.902)
lost by 21
at Jets
15
(LW-5)
Miami
Dolphins
1-21.3121
(LW * 1.110)
Bye
16
(LW+7)
Baltimore
Ravens
2-11.3076
(LW * 0.929)
lost by 3
at Steelers
17
(LW+2)
Pittsburgh
Steelers
3-11.2924
(LW * 1.020)
won by 3
vs Ravens
18
(LW-8)
New England
Patriots
2-11.2783
(LW * 1.203)
Bye
19
(LW+2)
Minnesota
Vikings
1-31.2457
(LW * 1.005)
lost by 13
at Titans
20
(LW+4)
Green Bay
Packers
2-21.2276
(LW * 0.989)
lost by 9
at Buccaneers
21
(LW+2)
Oakland
Raiders
1-31.2112
(LW * 1.006)
lost by 10
vs Chargers
22
(LW+4)
Jacksonville
Jaguars
2-21.1889
(LW * 0.977)
won by 3
vs Texans
23
(LW)
Atlanta
Falcons
2-21.1701
(LW * 1.053)
lost by 15
at Panthers
24
(LW+2)
Indianapolis
Colts
1-21.1518
(LW * 1.004)
Bye
25
(LW-7)
Kansas City
Chiefs
1-31.1475
(LW * 1.393)
won by 14
vs Broncos
26
(LW-2)
Cleveland
Browns
1-31.1213
(LW * 1.171)
won by 8
at Bengals
27
(LW+6)
San Francisco
49ers
2-21.0905
(LW * 0.924)
lost by 14
at Saints
28
(LW-1)
Houston
Texans
0-31.0707
(LW * 1.142)
lost by 3
at Jaguars
29
(LW+4)
Seattle
Seahawks
1-21.0312
(LW * 0.957)
Bye
30
(LW+6)
Cincinnati
Bengals
0-41.0231
(LW * 0.948)
lost by 8
vs Browns
31
(LW+1)
St. Louis
Rams
0-40.8626
(LW * 0.970)
lost by 17
vs Bills
32
(LW+1)
Detroit
Lions
0-30.8584
(LW * 0.987)
Bye