Sunday, October 26, 2008

NCAA: APR's Top 30+, Week 9

2008 Navigation Links.
Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for some disclaimers about applying APR to the NCAA.


I'll update with poll information (and probably add a few more teams) once it's posted. Update: Done.

RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (-)Texas
BCS=1
8-01.7584
(LW × 0.980)
won by 4
vs Oklahoma-St
2 (↑1)Penn-St
BCS=3
9-01.6911
(LW × 1.031)
won by 7
at Ohio-St
3 (↓1)Florida
BCS=8
6-11.6457
(LW × 0.988)
won by 58
vs Kentucky
4 (↑1)USC
BCS=5
6-11.6415
(LW × 1.025)
won by 7
at Arizona
5 (↑4)Texas-Tech
BCS=7
8-01.6274
(LW × 1.038)
won by 42
at Kansas
6 (↓2)Oklahoma
BCS=4
7-11.6171
(LW × 0.995)
won by 23
at Kansas-St
7 (↑1)Oklahoma-St
BCS=9
7-11.5934
(LW × 1.014)
lost by 4
at Texas
8 (↓1)Alabama
BCS=2
8-01.5931
(LW × 1.008)
won by 20
at Tennessee
9 (↑6)North-Carolina
BCS=22
6-21.5836
(LW × 1.077)
won by 21
vs Boston-Coll
10 (-)Georgia
BCS=6
7-11.5785
(LW × 1.010)
won by 14
at LSU
11 (-)Missouri
BCS=14
6-21.5516
(LW × 0.996)
won by 58
vs Colorado
12 (↓6)Ohio-St
BCS=12
7-21.5274
(LW × 0.965)
lost by 7
vs Penn-St
13 (↑1)Boise-St
BCS=11
7-01.5258
(LW × 1.038)
won by 17
at San-Jose-St
14 (↑2)Ball-St
BCS=16
8-01.4770
(LW × 1.008)
won by 22
vs East-Michigan
15 (↑27)Connecticut
BCS=25
6-21.4606
(LW × 1.094)
won by 24
vs Cincinnati
16 (↑5)Michigan-St
BCS=21
7-21.4527
(LW × 1.012)
won by 14
at Michigan
17 (↑3)Utah
BCS=10
8-01.4515
(LW × 1.011)
Bye
18 (↑22)Virginia5-31.4509
(LW × 1.086)
won by 7
at Georgia-Tech
19 (-)Minnesota
BCS=17
7-11.4497
(LW × 1.005)
won by 11
at Purdue
20 (↑9)Florida-St
BCS=15
6-11.4485
(LW × 1.044)
won by 10
vs Virginia-Tech
21 (↓4)Tulsa
BCS=18
8-01.4421
(LW × 0.994)
won by 30
vs UCF
22 (↓9)TCU
BCS=13
8-11.4332
(LW × 0.968)
won by 47
vs Wyoming
23 (↑1)Iowa5-31.4189
(LW × 0.997)
Bye
24 (↑13)Miami-FL5-31.4029
(LW × 1.037)
won by 6
vs Wake-Forest
25 (↓3)Nebraska5-31.3942
(LW × 0.973)
won by 12
vs Baylor
26 (↑6)Oregon-St4-31.3891
(LW × 1.009)
Bye
27 (↓9)Virginia-Tech5-31.3891
(LW × 0.962)
lost by 10
at Florida-St
28 (↑8)Notre-Dame5-21.3774
(LW × 1.011)
won by 26
at Washington
29 (↑2)Mississippi4-41.3755
(LW × 0.999)
won by 2
at Arkansas
30 (↓18)Pittsburgh5-21.3718
(LW × 0.917)
lost by 20
vs Rutgers
31 (↓8)South-Florida
BCS=23
6-21.3703
(LW × 0.962)
lost by 4
at Louisville
32 (↓5)Boston-Coll5-21.3621
(LW × 0.968)
lost by 21
at North-Carolina
33 (↑20)Oregon
BCS=24
6-21.3494
(LW × 1.044)
won by 34
at Arizona-St
34 (↓1)Arizona5-31.3488
(LW × 0.980)
lost by 7
vs USC
35 (↑3)W-Michigan6-21.3485
(LW × 1.005)
Bye

Other Notable Teams:
48 (↓9)BYU
BCS=20
7-11.3151
(LW × 0.983)
won by 7
vs UNLV
52 (↓24)LSU
BCS=19
5-21.2971
(LW × 0.927)
lost by 14
vs Georgia

Comments:

  • Texas drops a bit, but they're so high, it's nearly inevitable unless they continue to blow out high-ranked teams. They are still way, way above #2 Penn State.

  • It looks weird that Connecticut has suddenly leaped into the #15 spot. But they benefited from a lot of losses of teams formerly ahead of them, and the teams that they leap-frogged either lost, or beat much weaker teams. Connecticut has Pittsburgh, South Florida and West Virginia to play, so if they belong at the top of the rankings, they'll have a chance to prove it. Update: hey, Connecticut is ranked in the BCS!

  • File this under 'I told you so': APR has never ranked Auburn higher than #41 (in week 4). As recently as week 6, AP had them ranked in the top 25. Auburn has gone 1-4 in their last 5, this week losing to lowly West Virginia. Worse, with Mississippi, Georgia, and Alabama remaining to play, they likely won't get 2 more wins to make a .500 season.

  • And another for the 'I told you so' file: except for the first posting of the NCAA power rankings, APR has never had LSU higher than #28 (in week 8). This week, they take another big loss to a ranked team. Their situation isn't nearly as dire as Auburn, but it's clear LSU isn't a top 25 team.

  • Every BCS-ranked team except 4 stragglers is now in APR's top 25!