Wednesday, October 22, 2008

NFL Week 8 Picks

2008 Navigation Links.

Picks for week 8, based on the week 7 rankings.
Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken from yahoo.com (except when noted otherwise), and are for comparison purposes only.

GameAPRSRSLine
Washington Redskins @
Detroit Lions
Redskins
ρ=1.3793
Redskins
δ=17.89
Redskins
-7½
Oakland Raiders @
Baltimore Ravens
Ravens
ρ=1.1978
Ravens
δ=13.19
Ravens
-6½
Indianapolis Colts @
Tennessee Titans
Titans
ρ=1.1892
Titans
δ=8.57
Titans
-4
Kansas City Chiefs @
New York Jets
Jets
ρ=1.1713
Jets
δ=13.83
Jets
-13
Buffalo Bills @
Miami Dolphins
Bills
ρ=1.1445
Bills
δ=2.61
Bills
-1½
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @
Dallas Cowboys
Buccaneers
ρ=1.1201
Buccaneers
δ=6.93
Cowboys
-2
Cincinnati Bengals @
Houston Texans
Texans
ρ=1.1126
Texans
δ=2.26
Texans
-9½
New York Giants @
Pittsburgh Steelers
Steelers
ρ=1.1063
Steelers
δ=2.18
Steelers
-2½
Atlanta Falcons @
Philadelphia Eagles
Eagles
ρ=1.0743
Eagles
δ=6.09
Eagles
-9
St. Louis Rams @
New England Patriots
Patriots
ρ=1.0556
Patriots
δ=10.12
Patriots
-7
Seattle Seahawks @
San Francisco 49ers
Seahawks
ρ=1.0524
49ers
δ=3.74
49ers
-4½
San Diego Chargers @
New Orleans Saints
Chargers
ρ=1.0514
Chargers
δ=0.61
Chargers
-3
Cleveland Browns @
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jaguars
ρ=1.0488
Jaguars
δ=0.91
Jaguars
-7
Arizona Cardinals @
Carolina Panthers
Panthers
ρ=1.0266
Panthers
δ=2.46
Panthers
-4½
Bye: Chicago Bears, Denver Broncos, Green Bay Packers, Minnesota Vikings

Comments:

  • Disagreement on Bucs @ Cowboys and Seahawks @ 49ers.

  • With the Giants facing their toughest opponent of the season, this has to be one of the Cowboys' best chances to gain some ground in the division. But they've gone 1-4 since their last convincing win Week 3 at the Packers. And their schedule doesn't get any easier after the Bucs, either.

  • At 1-5, the Seahawks' season is pretty much done, even if Hasselbeck comes back immediately. As it is, this week at the 49ers might be one of their few remaining chances to win another game.

  • The Cardinals are as close to a lock for the division as a team can be with 6 games played. The game @ Carolina is one they need to win if they want to be more than one-and-done in the playoffs.

  • The Colts are already 3 games behind the division-leading Titans. If they lose, not only are they a long way out of first place in the AFC South, a 3-4 record will put them behind in the race for a wildcard spot, too.