Picks for week 9, based on the week 8 rankings.
Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken from yahoo.com (except when noted
otherwise), and are for comparison purposes only.
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
| Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears | Bears ρ=1.4229 | Bears δ=21.67 | Bears -13 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Kansas City Chiefs | Buccaneers ρ=1.3477 | Buccaneers δ=22.08 | Buccaneers -9 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals | Jaguars ρ=1.2392 | Jaguars δ=11.16 | Jaguars -7½ |
| Philadelphia Eagles @ Seattle Seahawks | Eagles ρ=1.1926 | Eagles δ=15.60 | Eagles -7 |
| Atlanta Falcons @ Oakland Raiders | Falcons ρ=1.1633 | Falcons δ=13.62 | Falcons -3 |
| Arizona Cardinals @ St. Louis Rams | Cardinals ρ=1.1442 | Cardinals δ=15.47 | Cardinals -3 |
| Green Bay Packers @ Tennessee Titans | Titans ρ=1.1342 | Titans δ=6.01 | Titans -5½ |
| New York Jets @ Buffalo Bills | Bills ρ=1.0966 | Bills δ=2.83 | Bills -5½ |
| Miami Dolphins @ Denver Broncos | Dolphins ρ=1.0956 | Dolphins δ=5.53 | Broncos -3 |
| Houston Texans @ Minnesota Vikings | Vikings ρ=1.0544 | Vikings δ=3.17 | Vikings -4½ |
| Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns | Ravens ρ=1.0541 | Ravens δ=2.37 | Browns -1½ |
| Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants | Giants ρ=1.0392 | Giants δ=3.99 | Giants -8 |
| New England Patriots @ Indianapolis Colts | Colts ρ=1.0059 | Colts δ=4.48 | Colts -5½ |
| Pittsburgh Steelers @ Washington Redskins | Steelers ρ=1.0045 | Steelers δ=4.65 | Redskins -1½ |
Comments:
Disagreements on Dolphins @ Broncos, Ravens @ Browns, and Steelers @ Redskins.
APR rates the bottom two games as virtual toss-ups.
The Titans seemed pretty beatable Monday night (the Colts had the lead for quite a while, and the Titans didn't pull ahead by more than 3 until late in the 4th quarter). The Ravens are the only team the Titans have played with a winning record, and the only one currently in the top half of the APR power rankings.
