Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for some disclaimers about applying APR to
NCAA.
BCS Rankings will be added when they are out (and I see them).
| Rank | Team | W-L | Power Index | This week |
| 1 (↑2) | Florida BCS=5 | 7-1 | 1.7649 (LW × 1.072) | won by 39 at Georgia |
| 2 (↓1) | Texas BCS=4 | 8-1 | 1.7174 (LW × 0.977) | lost by 6 at Texas-Tech |
| 3 (↓1) | Penn-St BCS=3 | 9-0 | 1.6993 (LW × 1.005) | Bye |
| 4 (↑1) | Texas-Tech BCS=2 | 9-0 | 1.6573 (LW × 1.018) | won by 6 vs Texas |
| 5 (↑1) | Oklahoma BCS=6 | 8-1 | 1.6546 (LW × 1.023) | won by 34 vs Nebraska |
| 6 (↑2) | Alabama BCS=1 | 9-0 | 1.5917 (LW × 0.999) | won by 35 vs Arkansas-St |
| 7 (↓3) | USC BCS=7 | 7-1 | 1.5662 (LW × 0.954) | won by 56 vs Washington |
| 8 (↑5) | Boise-St BCS=10 | 8-0 | 1.5534 (LW × 1.018) | won by 49 at New-Mexico-St |
| 9 (-) | North-Carolina BCS=19 | 6-2 | 1.5419 (LW × 0.974) | Bye |
| 10 (↓3) | Oklahoma-St BCS=9 | 8-1 | 1.5194 (LW × 0.954) | won by 42 vs Iowa-St |
| 11 (↓1) | Georgia BCS=13 | 7-2 | 1.5103 (LW × 0.957) | lost by 39 vs Florida |
| 12 (-) | Ohio-St BCS=11 | 7-2 | 1.5052 (LW × 0.986) | Bye |
| 13 (↓2) | Missouri BCS=14 | 7-2 | 1.4963 (LW × 0.964) | won by 3 at Baylor |
| 14 (↑32) | West-Virginia BCS=25 | 6-2 | 1.4799 (LW × 1.123) | won by 22 at Connecticut |
| 15 (↓1) | Ball-St BCS=17 | 8-0 | 1.4657 (LW × 0.992) | Bye |
| 16 (↑8) | Miami-FL | 6-3 | 1.4649 (LW × 1.044) | won by 7 at Virginia |
| 17 (↑5) | TCU BCS=12 | 9-1 | 1.4605 (LW × 1.019) | won by 30 at UNLV |
| 18 (↓1) | Utah BCS=8 | 9-0 | 1.4605 (LW × 1.006) | won by 3 at New-Mexico |
| 19 (↓3) | Michigan-St BCS=18 | 8-2 | 1.4502 (LW × 0.998) | won by 1 vs Wisconsin |
| 20 (↑9) | Mississippi | 5-4 | 1.4263 (LW × 1.037) | won by 10 vs Auburn |
| 21 (↑9) | Pittsburgh | 6-2 | 1.4154 (LW × 1.032) | won by 3 at Notre-Dame |
| 22 (↓2) | Florida-St BCS=22 | 6-2 | 1.4130 (LW × 0.975) | lost by 3 at Georgia-Tech |
| 23 (-) | Iowa | 5-4 | 1.4019 (LW × 0.988) | lost by 3 at Illinois |
| 24 (↑23) | Northwestern BCS=24 | 7-2 | 1.3946 (LW × 1.059) | won by 7 at Minnesota |
| 25 (↑28) | Cincinnati | 6-2 | 1.3864 (LW × 1.071) | won by 14 vs South-Florida |
| 26 (↑12) | South-Carolina | 6-3 | 1.3827 (LW × 1.032) | won by 21 vs Tennessee |
| 27 (↓8) | Minnesota | 7-2 | 1.3826 (LW × 0.954) | lost by 7 vs Northwestern |
| 28 (↓7) | Tulsa | 8-1 | 1.3807 (LW × 0.957) | lost by 7 at Arkansas |
| 29 (↓11) | Virginia | 5-4 | 1.3726 (LW × 0.946) | lost by 7 vs Miami-FL |
| 30 (↑6) | Rutgers | 3-5 | 1.3714 (LW × 1.018) | Bye |
| 31 (↑10) | California BCS=21 | 6-2 | 1.3681 (LW × 1.026) | won by 10 vs Oregon |
Other Notable Teams: | ||||
| 34 (↑3) | Georgia-Tech BCS=20 | 7-2 | 1.3533 (LW × 1.008) | won by 3 vs Florida-St |
| 38 (↑10) | BYU BCS=15 | 8-1 | 1.3463 (LW × 1.024) | won by 3 at Colorado-St |
| 45 (↑7) | LSU BCS=16 | 6-2 | 1.3292 (LW × 1.025) | won by 25 vs Tulane |
| 48 (↑1) | Maryland BCS=23 | 6-2 | 1.3209 (LW × 1.006) | Bye |
Comments:
These numbers do not include the score of East Carolina @ UCF, which is not played until late Sunday night. Since neither one of them is anywhere near the top 30, this shouldn't be a big deal. It could potentially affect the ordering of teams with very close power index values (e.g. #10 Oklahoma St and #11 Georgia, or #15 Ball St and #16 Miami of Florida).
Texas drops on their loss. But they had such a massive lead coming in to this week, even with the loss, the only reason they drop to #2 is because the Gators hit the APR trifecta: (1) a big-margin win (2) on the road (3) against a high-ranked opponent.
I suppose Alabama will now be #1 in the BCS poll, but I think I'm with APR on this one—they're good, but the teams above them have more impressive records.
Rutgers is 3-2 in their last 5, including a win against Pennsylvania last week (APR gives less weight to their early losses). They might still have a shot at 6 wins (and bowl elegibility). Certainly they'll be happy to play spoiler next week at South Florida.
BYU and LSU move up some this week. Both of them probably have at least one more loss coming...
USC puts a 56-0 strapping on Washington, and takes a 4.6% hit on their power index for their trouble. That's probably a bug in APR. But even if I think of a satisfactory way to fix it, I'm not going to roll it out before the end of the season.
LSU is no longer the lowest-rated BCS-ranked team. Maryland has North Carolina, Florida State, and Boston College to finish out their season, so if they belong ranked, they have their chance to prove it.
