Sunday, November 30, 2008

NCAA: APR's Top 30+, week 14

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Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for some disclaimers about applying APR to NCAA.

BCS Standings will be added sometime Sunday afternoon. Update: done.


RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (↑2)Oklahoma
BCS=2
11-11.7337
(LW × 1.020)
won by 20
at Oklahoma-St
2 (↓1)Florida
BCS=4
11-11.7304
(LW × 1.012)
won by 30
at Florida-St
3 (↓1)Texas
BCS=3
11-11.6638
(LW × 0.976)
won by 40
vs Texas-A&M
4 (-)Penn-St
BCS=8
11-11.6499
(LW × 0.998)
Bye
5 (-)USC
BCS=5
10-11.6096
(LW × 1.009)
won by 35
vs Notre-Dame
6 (↑3)Boise-St
BCS=9
12-01.5772
(LW × 1.015)
won by 51
vs Fresno-St
7 (↓1)Texas-Tech
BCS=7
11-11.5613
(LW × 0.979)
won by 7
vs Baylor
8 (-)Ohio-St
BCS=10
10-21.5578
(LW × 1.000)
Bye
9 (↓2)Alabama
BCS=1
12-01.5533
(LW × 0.991)
won by 36
vs Auburn
10 (-)Utah
BCS=6
12-01.5491
(LW × 1.000)
Bye
11 (↑1)Ball-St
BCS=12
12-01.5172
(LW × 1.009)
won by 23
vs W-Michigan
12 (↓1)TCU
BCS=11
10-21.5160
(LW × 1.002)
Bye
13 (↑2)Boston-Coll
BCS=17
9-31.4913
(LW × 1.007)
won by 7
vs Maryland
14 (↑2)Cincinnati
BCS=13
10-21.4685
(LW × 0.996)
won by 20
vs Syracuse
15 (↑5)Rutgers6-51.4665
(LW × 1.002)
Bye
16 (↑3)Mississippi8-41.4629
(LW × 0.995)
won by 45
vs Mississippi-St
17 (↑17)Oregon
BCS=19
9-31.4538
(LW × 1.066)
won by 27
at Oregon-St
18 (-)West-Virginia7-41.4523
(LW × 0.986)
lost by 4
at Pittsburgh
19 (↓6)Florida-St
BCS=24
8-41.4506
(LW × 0.969)
lost by 30
vs Florida
20 (↑2)Iowa8-41.4504
(LW × 0.998)
Bye
21 (↑3)North-Carolina8-41.4481
(LW × 1.011)
won by 8
at Duke
22 (↑3)Michigan-St
BCS=21
9-31.4311
(LW × 1.002)
Bye
23 (↑9)Clemson7-51.4281
(LW × 1.039)
won by 17
vs South-Carolina
24 (↑3)Pittsburgh
BCS=23
8-31.4223
(LW × 1.018)
won by 4
vs West-Virginia
25 (↑3)Georgia-Tech
BCS=15
9-31.4207
(LW × 1.023)
won by 3
at Georgia
26 (↓12)Missouri
BCS=20
9-31.4151
(LW × 0.952)
lost by 3
vs Kansas
27 (↓10)Georgia
BCS=16
9-31.4138
(LW × 0.959)
lost by 3
vs Georgia-Tech
28 (↓7)Oklahoma-St
BCS=14
9-31.3977
(LW × 0.956)
lost by 20
vs Oklahoma
29 (-)BYU
BCS=18
10-21.3908
(LW × 1.003)
Bye
30 (↓4)Nebraska8-41.3844
(LW × 0.988)
won by 9
vs Colorado
31 (↓1)Virginia-Tech
BCS=25
8-41.3742
(LW × 0.992)
won by 3
vs Virginia
32 (↑1)Connecticut7-41.3739
(LW × 1.001)
Bye
33 (↑5)NC-State6-61.3695
(LW × 1.027)
won by 10
vs Miami-FL
34 (↓11)Oregon-St8-41.3649
(LW × 0.952)
lost by 27
vs Oregon
35 (↑1)California7-41.3631
(LW × 1.003)
Bye
36 (↓1)Northwestern
BCS=22
9-31.3580
(LW × 0.999)
Bye

Comments:

  • Oklahoma moves up to the #1 spot, but their power index is close enough to Florida's to be virtually tied.

    Florida will have a chance to retake the #1 spot when they play Alabama next week.

  • As I expected, Texas' power index takes a big hit in spite of a 40-point win over now 4-8 Texas A&M. They're now a significant way below #1 Oklahoma.

  • How can the Big 12 South leave their division winner (even at the 5th tie-breaker level) up to the BCS? Might as well just make it a coin-toss.

  • Mississippi has had an amazing season. They were 3-4 at one point before finishing on a 5-game winning streak. None of their losses have been by more than 7 points. Whoever gets them in a bowl game could be in for a very tough game.

  • As predicted (or at least, suggested was possible), LSU finishes the regular season 7-5.