Monday, December 1, 2008

NFL Week 13 Pick Results

2008 Navigation Links
Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for a description of SRS.
Line picks counted correct when the favored team wins; they do not have to beat the spread to count as a win.

Pick results for week 13.

Unanimous picks (8-4)

Correctly picked:

Titans @ Lions
Seahawks @ Cowboys
Cardinals @ Eagles
Ravens @ Bengals
Giants @ Redskins
Dolphins @ Rams
Colts @ Browns
Saints @ Buccaneers

Not so much:

49ers @ Bills
Did the Bills leave all their offense in Kansas City? Somehow they couldn't score 11 points on the 49ers.

Panthers @ Packers
A lot of things went wrong for the Packers. Special teams gave them short fields: the Panthers had 12 drives; only 3 started inside their 30 yard line. The defense gave up some big plays: 98 of Delhomme's 177 passing yards came on 2 plays. The offense was not without guilt either: an early bad snap let to a Panthers' touchdown, and a late interception ended the Packers' final come-back threat.

Chiefs @ Raiders
The Cheifs are bad. The Raiders are bad. The Chiefs were (momentarily) less bad on Sunday.

Broncos @ Jets
The Broncos are back to "come-back" mode, at least this week. They played good offense, and didn't give away too much on defense. The Broncos are now 4-0 when they hold their opponents under 24 points.

Split Picks (APR 4-0) (SRS 2-2) (Line 2-2)

Steelers (APR, SRS) @ Patriots (Line)
The Patriots are getting Lines on last years reputaton. The fact is, they're still good enough to beat the lower-tier teams, and they've been taking advantage. But they are 2-3 against teams in the top half of the power rankings (including the split with the Jets, and the win over the Broncos, who are just this week at #16).

Falcons (APR, SRS) @ Chargers (Line)
The Chargers are another team getting lines on last year's reputation. This could've been much worse—all the Chargers' scores came off of turnovers, and their longest scoring drive was just 35 yards.

Bears (SRS) @ Vikings (APR, Line)
Jaguars (SRS) @ Texans (APR, Line)
SRS needs to discount early-season success, especially when it's not matched with late season success.


This weekOverall
Unanimous: 8-4 90-34

New power rankings, and next weeks picks to come.