Picks for week 13, based on the week 12 rankings.
Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken
from yahoo.com (except
Dolphins @ Raiders, which is from footballlocks.com), and are for comparison purposes only.
Picks for week 13.
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
| Tennessee Titans @ Detroit Lions | Titans ρ=1.4704 | Titans δ=21.18 | Titans -11 |
| Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals | Ravens ρ=1.3171 | Ravens δ=15.03 | Ravens -7 |
| New York Giants @ Washington Redskins | Giants ρ=1.2374 | Giants δ=10.81 | Giants -3½ |
| Denver Broncos @ New York Jets | Jets ρ=1.2306 | Jets δ=10.83 | Jets -7½ |
| Miami Dolphins @ St. Louis Rams | Dolphins ρ=1.2236 | Dolphins δ=16.00 | Dolphins -8 |
| Seattle Seahawks @ Dallas Cowboys | Cowboys ρ=1.1591 | Cowboys δ=7.49 | Cowboys -13 |
| Indianapolis Colts @ Cleveland Browns | Colts ρ=1.1289 | Colts δ=4.38 | Colts -5 |
| San Francisco 49ers @ Buffalo Bills | Bills ρ=1.1265 | Bills δ=6.20 | Bills -7 |
| Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders | Raiders ρ=1.1019 | Raiders δ=2.52 | Raiders -3 |
| Atlanta Falcons @ San Diego Chargers | Falcons ρ=1.0695 | Falcons δ=1.79 | Chargers -5 |
| New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Buccaneers ρ=1.0572 | Buccaneers δ=2.86 | Buccaneers -3½ |
| Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings | Vikings ρ=1.0515 | Bears δ=0.04 | Vikings -3½ |
| Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans | Texans ρ=1.0445 | Jaguars δ=1.53 | Texans -3 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers @ New England Patriots | Steelers ρ=1.0234 | Steelers δ=5.31 | Patriots -1 |
| Arizona Cardinals @ Philadelphia Eagles | Eagles ρ=1.0169 | Eagles δ=0.03 | Eagles -3 |
| Carolina Panthers @ Green Bay Packers | Packers ρ=1.0050 | Packers δ=0.78 | Packers -3 |
Comments:
Disagreements for Falcons @ Chargers, Bears @ Vikings, Texans @ Jaguars, Steelers @ Patriots.
Not even the line likes the Cardinals this week? A road game on a short week is notoriously difficult, but the Eagles have just looked awful the last couple of games. Donovan McNabb is going to have to play a lot better to get a win, short week or not.
