Picks for week 15, based on the week 14 rankings.
Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken
from yahoo.com (except
Seahawks @ Rams and Vikings @ Cardinals, taken
from footballocks.com),
and are for comparison purposes only.
Picks for week 15.
Game | APR | SRS | Line |
Detroit Lions @ Indianapolis Colts | Colts ρ=1.3677 | Colts δ=17.43 | Colts -17 |
Cleveland Browns @ Philadelphia Eagles | Eagles ρ=1.1906 | Eagles δ=8.00 | Eagles -14 |
New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys | Giants ρ=1.1724 | Giants δ=8.15 | Cowboys -3 |
San Diego Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs | Chargers ρ=1.1627 | Chargers δ=12.46 | Chargers -5 |
New England Patriots @ Oakland Raiders | Patriots ρ=1.1475 | Patriots δ=8.99 | Patriots -7 |
Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans | Titans ρ=1.1356 | Titans δ=11.04 | Titans -3 |
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets | Jets ρ=1.1294 | Jets δ=4.88 | Jets -7 |
Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers | Panthers ρ=1.1148 | Panthers δ=9.36 | Panthers -7½ |
Green Bay Packers @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Packers ρ=1.1022 | Packers δ=7.26 | Packers -1½ |
Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams | Seahawks ρ=1.0964 | Seahawks δ=9.07 | Seahawks -3 |
Washington Redskins @ Cincinnati Bengals | Redskins ρ=1.0935 | Redskins δ=8.61 | Redskins -7 |
Minnesota Vikings @ Arizona Cardinals | Vikings ρ=1.0857 | Vikings δ=2.17 | Cardinals -3 |
New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears | Saints ρ=1.0516 | Saints δ=1.31 | Bears -3 |
San Francisco 49ers @ Miami Dolphins | Dolphins ρ=1.0441 | Dolphins δ=3.15 | Dolphins -6½ |
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Baltimore Ravens | Ravens ρ=1.0263 | Ravens δ=0.44 | Ravens -2 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons | Falcons ρ=1.0211 | Buccaneers δ=0.78 | Falcons -3 |
Comments:
Disagreements for Giants @ Cowboys, Vikings @ Cardinals, Saints @ Bears, and Buccaneers @ Falcons.
The Line likes the Cowboys over the Giants? Did the Giants lose somebody since the whole Plaxico deal? Update: yes. Brandon Jacobs is out.
Once again, APR, SRS, and the Line all pick the Packers to win. I wish I had more confidence they were right this time.
Another SRS vs APR and Line pick. SRS is now 2-8 in such picks this season, with both correct picks coming early.