Tuesday, December 9, 2008

NFL Week 14 Power Rankings

2008 Navigation Links
Read this for a description of APR

RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (-)New York
Giants
11-21.5288
(LW × 0.971)
lost by 6
vs Eagles
2 (-)Baltimore
Ravens
9-41.5093
(LW × 1.004)
won by 14
vs Redskins
3 (↑1)Tennessee
Titans
12-11.4722
(LW × 1.005)
won by 19
vs Browns
4 (↓1)Pittsburgh
Steelers
10-31.4707
(LW × 1.002)
won by 7
vs Cowboys
5 (↑4)Philadelphia
Eagles
7-5-11.4284
(LW × 1.038)
won by 6
at Giants
6 (↑4)Carolina
Panthers
10-31.4117
(LW × 1.032)
won by 15
vs Buccaneers
7 (↓1)Atlanta
Falcons
8-51.3995
(LW × 0.993)
lost by 4
at Saints
8 (-)Indianapolis
Colts
9-41.3977
(LW × 1.005)
won by 32
vs Bengals
9 (↓2)Minnesota
Vikings
8-51.3763
(LW × 0.979)
won by 4
at Lions
10 (↓5)Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
9-41.3706
(LW × 0.965)
lost by 15
at Panthers
11 (↑1)New Orleans
Saints
7-61.3483
(LW × 1.004)
won by 4
vs Falcons
12 (↑2)Dallas
Cowboys
8-51.3040
(LW × 0.988)
lost by 7
at Steelers
13 (↑6)Houston
Texans
6-71.2964
(LW × 1.021)
won by 3
at Packers
14 (↓3)New York
Jets
8-51.2953
(LW × 0.963)
lost by 10
at 49ers
15 (-)New England
Patriots
8-51.2938
(LW × 0.997)
won by 3
at Seahawks
16 (↑1)San Diego
Chargers
5-81.2930
(LW × 1.016)
won by 27
vs Raiders
17 (↓4)Green Bay
Packers
5-81.2928
(LW × 0.978)
lost by 3
vs Texans
18 (-)Chicago
Bears
7-61.2821
(LW × 1.010)
won by 13
vs Jaguars
19 (↑1)Arizona
Cardinals
8-51.2677
(LW × 1.008)
won by 24
vs Rams
20 (↓4)Denver
Broncos
8-51.2663
(LW × 0.989)
won by 7
vs Chiefs
21 (-)Miami
Dolphins
8-51.2552
(LW × 1.022)
won by 13
at Bills
22 (↑1)Washington
Redskins
7-61.2040
(LW × 0.987)
lost by 14
at Ravens
23 (↑3)San Francisco
49ers
5-81.2022
(LW × 1.036)
won by 10
vs Jets
24 (↓2)Cleveland
Browns
4-91.1998
(LW × 0.978)
lost by 19
at Titans
25 (↓1)Jacksonville
Jaguars
4-91.1729
(LW × 0.989)
lost by 13
at Bears
26 (↓1)Buffalo
Bills
6-71.1469
(LW × 0.971)
lost by 13
vs Dolphins
27 (-)Oakland
Raiders
3-101.1275
(LW × 0.974)
lost by 27
at Chargers
28 (-)Kansas City
Chiefs
2-111.1121
(LW × 0.983)
lost by 7
at Broncos
29 (-)Cincinnati
Bengals
1-11-11.1010
(LW × 0.989)
lost by 32
at Colts
30 (-)Seattle
Seahawks
2-111.1008
(LW × 1.001)
lost by 3
vs Patriots
31 (↑1)Detroit
Lions
0-131.0219
(LW × 1.022)
lost by 4
vs Vikings
32 (↓1)St. Louis
Rams
2-111.0040
(LW × 0.991)
lost by 24
at Cardinals

Comments:

  • Playoff standings detailed here.

  • The Giants lose nearly 3% of their power on the loss to the Eagles, but they were so far ahead of the Ravens, it doesn't cost them the top spot.

  • The Titans and Steelers swap positions, but they are still so close as to be virtually tied.

  • It was just two weeks ago the Eagles were left for dead after being crushed by the Ravens. They're still on the outside looking in for the playoffs, but they could have a chance if they win out.

  • The Cowboys move down in power, but move up in the rankings because the Jets and Packers suffered bigger losses, and no one else was there to take their place.

  • It was just 3 weeks ago the Packers were #5 in the power rankings. They really have been bad since then.

  • The Lions get a (possibly temporary) reprieve from the bottom spot. Maybe the best hope the Lions have for finding a win is that the Rams have won two, in spite of being awful. On the other hand, the Lions don't have Mark Bulger or Steve Jackson.

Teams ESPN likes more than APR:

Cardinals (+10)
ESPN hasn't seemed to notice that Cardinals have been taking advantage of a very soft schedule. With the Vikings and Patriots left on their schedule, they might only win one more game in the regular season.

Dolphins (+9)
APR may be under-rating the Dolphins, but how does ESPN move them up 4 spots on beating the slumping Bills?

Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

Eagles (-9)
...While ESPN only gives the Eagles a 4-spot bump for beating the first-place Giants? If the Eagles continue to get production from their running game, they're going to keep winning.

Historically Bad Teams Watch

I have to admit that I've lost interest in this since it's become clear that (barring an epic late-season collapse) the Rams are not going to overtake the '76 Buccaneers.

I'm going to put this back on hiatus, with a final recap on the Week 17 power rankings.