Tuesday, December 23, 2008

NFL Week 16 Power Rankings

2008 Navigation Links
Read this for a description of APR

RankTeamW-LPower
Index
This week
1 (↑1)Baltimore
Ravens
10-51.5099
(LW × 1.024)
won by 9
at Cowboys
2 (↑2)Tennessee
Titans
13-21.4898
(LW × 1.023)
won by 17
vs Steelers
3 (↓2)Pittsburgh
Steelers
11-41.4864
(LW × 0.983)
lost by 17
at Titans
4 (↓1)New York
Giants
12-31.4719
(LW × 1.002)
won by 6
vs Panthers
5 (↑3)Atlanta
Falcons
10-51.4454
(LW × 1.034)
won by 7
at Vikings
6 (-)Carolina
Panthers
11-41.4173
(LW × 0.991)
lost by 6
at Giants
7 (↑2)Indianapolis
Colts
11-41.4058
(LW × 1.011)
won by 7
at Jaguars
8 (↑6)New England
Patriots
10-51.3826
(LW × 1.045)
won by 40
vs Cardinals
9 (↓2)Philadelphia
Eagles
8-6-11.3809
(LW × 0.969)
lost by 7
at Redskins
10 (↑7)San Diego
Chargers
7-81.3777
(LW × 1.075)
won by 17
at Buccaneers
11 (↓6)Minnesota
Vikings
9-61.3732
(LW × 0.953)
lost by 7
vs Falcons
12 (↑1)New Orleans
Saints
8-71.3514
(LW × 1.017)
won by 35
at Lions
13 (↓2)Dallas
Cowboys
9-61.3299
(LW × 0.983)
lost by 9
vs Ravens
14 (↓4)Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
9-61.3154
(LW × 0.956)
lost by 17
vs Chargers
15 (-)Chicago
Bears
9-61.3023
(LW × 0.992)
won by 3
vs Packers
16 (↑3)Miami
Dolphins
10-51.3019
(LW × 1.040)
won by 7
at Chiefs
17 (↓5)Houston
Texans
7-81.2850
(LW × 0.963)
lost by 11
at Raiders
18 (-)New York
Jets
9-61.2722
(LW × 0.995)
lost by 10
at Seahawks
19 (↓3)Green Bay
Packers
5-101.2711
(LW × 0.986)
lost by 3
at Bears
20 (↑5)Washington
Redskins
8-71.2265
(LW × 1.048)
won by 7
vs Eagles
21 (↑5)Buffalo
Bills
7-81.2130
(LW × 1.055)
won by 7
at Broncos
22 (↑1)San Francisco
49ers
6-91.2059
(LW × 1.007)
won by 1
at Rams
23 (↓3)Denver
Broncos
8-71.1990
(LW × 0.976)
lost by 7
vs Bills
24 (↓3)Arizona
Cardinals
8-71.1977
(LW × 0.981)
lost by 40
at Patriots
25 (↑2)Cincinnati
Bengals
3-11-11.1933
(LW × 1.049)
won by 14
at Browns
26 (↓4)Jacksonville
Jaguars
5-101.1780
(LW × 0.973)
lost by 7
vs Colts
27 (↑1)Seattle
Seahawks
4-111.1618
(LW × 1.051)
won by 10
vs Jets
28 (↑2)Oakland
Raiders
4-111.1537
(LW × 1.065)
won by 11
vs Texans
29 (↓5)Cleveland
Browns
4-111.1330
(LW × 0.962)
lost by 14
vs Bengals
30 (↓1)Kansas City
Chiefs
2-131.1038
(LW × 1.009)
lost by 7
vs Dolphins
31 (-)Detroit
Lions
0-151.0211
(LW × 0.968)
lost by 35
vs Saints
32 (-)St. Louis
Rams
2-131.0062
(LW × 1.015)
lost by 1
vs 49ers

Comments:

  • The Ravens get their chance at the #1 spot. And they still haven't clinched a playoff spot going into week 17!

  • The Giants move up a little, but not enough to stay ahead of the Titans on their much more impressive win.

  • APR has ranked the Chargers ahead of the Broncos nearly every week. And now the division comes down to the final game of the season. The Chargers have another chance to make up for their week 2 failures. If they can't get it done now, they don't have anyone to blame but themselves.

  • Now the 49ers are the only NFC West team outside the bottom 10. It really doesn't look good for the Cardinals getting to the Divsional round of the playoffs.

  • The Lions have overtaken the Rams for most net points allowed. The Lions would need to lose to the Packers by 89 points to tie the '76 Buccaneers for worst average, though.

Teams ESPN likes more than APR:

Nothing really egregious this week. Dolphins (+7) are the closest to my usual +8 cut-off.

Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

And again, no major disagreements. Eagles (-6) and Chargers (-6) have the only differential beyond -5.