Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for a description of SRS.
Picks for the Championship games
Based on the Divisional rankings. Line values are taken from yahoo.com, and are for comparison purposes only.
Picks for week Championship.
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
| Philadelphia Eagles @ Arizona Cardinals | Eagles ρ=1.1375 | Eagles δ=8.85 | Eagles -4 |
| Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Ravens ρ=1.0405 | Ravens δ=0.13 | Steelers -6 |
Comments:
The Ravens' biggest problem advancing to the Super Bowl is going to be how well they recover from the smash-mouth game they played against the Titans. Even guys that aren't "officially" injured will still be feeling stiff and sore, moreso as the Steelers bang them around. The fact that the Steelers' divisional game was pretty well over early in the 4th quarter means the Steelers will be fresher for this game.
I didn't think the Cards could beat the Falcons, and surely not the Panthers, and now I don't think they can beat the Eagles. So they're a cinch to win, right? Well... the Eagles are coming off their own smash-mouth game (though less physical than Ravens/Titans, at least to my eye). Also (as pointed out in the Divisional Round Pick Results), the Eagles played a pretty sloppy game. They will make things a lot harder for themselves if they give the Cardinals' too many extra chances on Sunday.
