Picks for week 2, based on the week 1 rankings.
Read this for a description of APR.
Read this for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken from yahoo.com, and are for comparison purposes only.
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
| Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons | Falcons ρ=9.5661 | Falcons δ=40.00 | Falcons -6 |
| Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions | Vikings ρ=7.8919 | Vikings δ=32.00 | Vikings -10 |
| Cleveland Browns @ Denver Broncos | Broncos ρ=5.2436 | Broncos δ=19.00 | Broncos -3 |
| Indianapolis Colts @ Miami Dolphins | Colts ρ=4.1784 | Colts δ=14.00 | Colts -3 |
| Cincinnati Bengals @ Green Bay Packers | Packers ρ=3.4643 | Packers δ=11.00 | Packers -9 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers @ Chicago Bears | Steelers ρ=2.9440 | Steelers δ=9.00 | Steelers -3 |
| Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans | Titans ρ=2.4067 | Titans δ=14.00 | Titans -6½ |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Buffalo Bills | Bills ρ=2.3399 | Bills δ=12.00 | Bills -5 |
| New England Patriots @ New York Jets | Jets ρ=1.7889 | Jets δ=16.00 | Patriots -3½ |
| Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs | Raiders ρ=1.7018 | Raiders δ=10.00 | Chiefs -3 |
| Baltimore Ravens @ San Diego Chargers | Ravens ρ=1.6372 | Ravens δ=10.00 | Chargers -3 |
| St. Louis Rams @ Washington Redskins | Redskins ρ=1.5910 | Redskins δ=22.00 | Redskins -9½ |
| Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers | Seahawks ρ=1.5455 | Seahawks δ=24.00 | 49ers -1½ |
| New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys | Cowboys ρ=1.3067 | Cowboys δ=7.00 | Cowboys -3 |
| Arizona Cardinals @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Jaguars ρ=1.1767 | Jaguars δ=2.00 | Jaguars -3 |
| New Orleans Saints @ Philadelphia Eagles | Eagles ρ=1.0090 | Eagles δ=10.00 | Saints -1 |
Comments:
Last year's Broncos @ Browns game featured a spectacular collapse by the Browns—one of the reasons they have a new HC this year.
I'm not really sure why the line likes the Chargers over the Ravens. The fact that the Chargers nearly lost to the Raiders on MNF doesn't make me think there's been any great improvement in them over last year.
No line for Saints @ Eagles, either at yahoo or footballlocks. I would think because of the Eagles' QB issues, the Saints will be favored by something (but if they're not, it wouldn't be the first time I was wrong about such things).
Update: yahoo is now saying Saints - 1. Also, the Eagles aren't ruling out McNabb for Sunday.
