Picks for week 3.
Read
this for a description of APR.
Read this
for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken from yahoo.com (except for Chiefs @ Eagles, which is from footballlocks.com).
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
| Tennessee Titans @ New York Jets | Jets ρ=6.0171 | Jets δ=20.88 | Jets -3 |
| New York Giants @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Giants ρ=5.0392 | Giants δ=11.70 | Giants -6½ |
| Carolina Panthers @ Dallas Cowboys | Cowboys ρ=3.5823 | Cowboys δ=21.15 | Cowboys -9 |
| Green Bay Packers @ St. Louis Rams | Packers ρ=3.3582 | Packers δ=20.68 | Packers -6½ |
| Cleveland Browns @ Baltimore Ravens | Ravens ρ=3.3316 | Ravens δ=21.22 | Ravens -13 |
| Kansas City Chiefs @ Philadelphia Eagles | Eagles ρ=3.2561 | Eagles δ=10.70 | Eagles -9½ |
| Denver Broncos @ Oakland Raiders | Broncos ρ=3.1024 | Broncos δ=17.32 | Broncos -1½ |
| Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals | Bengals ρ=2.8933 | Bengals δ=10.70 | Steelers -4 |
| Miami Dolphins @ San Diego Chargers | Chargers ρ=2.6159 | Chargers δ=14.48 | Chargers -6 |
| New Orleans Saints @ Buffalo Bills | Saints ρ=2.1461 | Saints δ=21.06 | Saints -6 |
| Indianapolis Colts @ Arizona Cardinals | Cardinals ρ=1.9175 | Cardinals δ=16.52 | Cardinals -2½ |
| Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans | Texans ρ=1.8040 | Texans δ=0.29 | Texans -3½ |
| Chicago Bears @ Seattle Seahawks | Seahawks ρ=1.7183 | Seahawks δ=15.02 | Bears -2½ |
| Atlanta Falcons @ New England Patriots | Falcons ρ=1.4707 | Patriots δ=4.40 | Patriots -4 |
| Washington Redskins @ Detroit Lions | Redskins ρ=1.1862 | Lions δ=3.25 | Redskins -6½ |
| San Francisco 49ers @ Minnesota Vikings | Vikings ρ=1.0260 | 49ers δ=1.84 | Vikings -7 |
Comments:
Did yahoo forget about Chiefs @ Eagles? They don't even have an entry for the game that says 'no line'; it's just not listed.
Eagles-9½ seems like a wide line for the McNabb-less Eagles. The Chiefs played the Ravens close for most of the game in Week 1 (though they did give up two late touchdowns).
Even the line likes the Cardinals over the Colts? Wow. If the Cardinals come away with a win, that will make their Week 1 loss to the 49ers look a lot more like the exception rather than the rule.
I like APR's pick of the Falcons. The Patriots have looked pretty iffy so far this season. Or maybe Tom Brady has finally shaken off the rust from a season-long stint on IR? Didn't look like it last Sunday in the Meadowlands.
SRS's pick of the Lions is interesting too. The Redskins 2-point win over the Rams sure doesn't inspire a lot of confidence in their scoring ability.
49ers @ Vikings will be an interesting game. Likely the toughest opponent for both teams so far this year.
