Read
this for a description of APR.
Read
this for some disclaimers about applying APR to the NCAA.
This is using a new margin power function (different from the function used for NFL games). This means that the power values are not comparable to the ones posted last year.
Official rankings will be added after they are published.
| Rank | Team | W-L | Power Index | This week |
| 1 (↑1) | Alabama BCS=1 | 13-0 | 7.8120 (LW × 1.102) | won by 19 vs Florida |
| 2 (↓1) | Texas BCS=2 | 13-0 | 7.4355 (LW × 0.934) | won by 1 at Nebraska |
| 3 (-) | Florida BCS=5 | 12-1 | 6.4083 (LW × 0.912) | lost by 19 at Alabama |
| 4 (-) | Texas-Tech | 8-4 | 5.7708 (LW × 0.988) | Bye |
| 5 (-) | Oklahoma | 7-5 | 5.7246 (LW × 0.985) | Bye |
| 6 (-) | Arkansas | 7-5 | 5.5098 (LW × 0.996) | Bye |
| 7 (↑1) | Virginia-Tech BCS=11 | 9-3 | 5.4480 (LW × 1.000) | Bye |
| 8 (↓1) | TCU BCS=4 | 12-0 | 5.3956 (LW × 0.990) | Bye |
| 9 (↑2) | Oregon BCS=7 | 10-2 | 5.3112 (LW × 1.028) | won by 4 vs Oregon-St |
| 10 (-) | Ohio-St BCS=8 | 10-2 | 5.3024 (LW × 1.025) | Bye |
| 11 (↑1) | Penn-St BCS=13 | 10-2 | 5.1895 (LW × 1.015) | Bye |
| 12 (↑1) | Mississippi | 8-4 | 5.0952 (LW × 1.009) | Bye |
| 13 (↑2) | Georgia-Tech BCS=9 | 11-2 | 4.9651 (LW × 1.011) | won by 5 at Clemson |
| 14 (↓5) | Boise-St BCS=6 | 13-0 | 4.8267 (LW × 0.907) | won by 35 vs New-Mexico-St |
| 15 (↓1) | Cincinnati BCS=3 | 12-0 | 4.7427 (LW × 0.960) | won by 1 at Pittsburgh |
| 16 (-) | Nebraska BCS=22 | 9-4 | 4.6985 (LW × 1.015) | lost by 1 vs Texas |
| 17 (↑3) | LSU BCS=12 | 9-3 | 4.5386 (LW × 1.021) | Bye |
| 18 (↓1) | Miami-FL BCS=15 | 9-3 | 4.5375 (LW × 0.991) | Bye |
| 19 (-) | Stanford BCS=21 | 8-4 | 4.4544 (LW × 1.002) | Bye |
| 20 (↓2) | Oklahoma-St BCS=19 | 9-3 | 4.4496 (LW × 0.986) | Bye |
| 21 (↑1) | Iowa BCS=10 | 10-2 | 4.3895 (LW × 1.034) | Bye |
| 22 (↑2) | Oregon-St BCS=18 | 8-4 | 4.2308 (LW × 1.004) | lost by 4 at Oregon |
| 23 (↑4) | Auburn | 7-5 | 4.1856 (LW × 1.015) | Bye |
| 24 (↓3) | Pittsburgh BCS=17 | 9-3 | 4.1809 (LW × 0.949) | lost by 1 vs Cincinnati |
| 25 (-) | West-Virginia BCS=16 | 9-2 | 4.1479 (LW × 0.985) | won by 3 at Rutgers |
| 26 (↑2) | Tennessee | 7-5 | 4.1343 (LW × 1.003) | Bye |
| 27 (↓1) | Texas-A&M | 6-6 | 4.1017 (LW × 0.985) | Bye |
| 28 (↑1) | North-Carolina | 8-4 | 4.0223 (LW × 0.994) | Bye |
| 29 (↓6) | Clemson | 8-5 | 3.9598 (LW × 0.934) | lost by 5 vs Georgia-Tech |
| 30 (↑2) | Georgia | 7-5 | 3.8176 (LW × 0.999) | Bye |
Other notable teams: | ||||
| 31 (↑9) | Wisconsin BCS=25 | 9-3 | 3.8104 (LW × 1.104) | won by 41 at Hawaii |
| 34 (↓4) | USC BCS=24 | 8-4 | 3.7160 (LW × 0.921) | lost by 4 vs Arizona |
| 35 (↑7) | Arizona BCS=20 | 8-4 | 3.6873 (LW × 1.089) | won by 4 at USC |
| 36 (-) | BYU BCS=14 | 10-2 | 3.5721 (LW × 0.991) | Bye |
| 37 (↓4) | Houston | 10-3 | 3.5213 (LW × 0.932) | lost by 6 at East-Carolina |
| 50 (↓2) | Utah BCS=23 | 9-3 | 3.0003 (LW × 0.988) | Bye |
Comments:
In spite of APR having them closely ranked, Alabama vs Florida was only close in the first half.
And Texas really had a sloppy game against Nebraska. Probably the worst sequence was Colt McCoy's final incompletion, where the whole team seemed unaware the game clock was about to expire. If they play like that in the Championship Game, Alabama is going to run away with it.
Arizona had a better, but still weak offensive game against USC. If they play Nebraska in the Holiday Bowl, it could be very ugly for them. The good news is that Arizona will have the rest of the month to get healthy before they play.
Stay tuned. There's more NCAA stuff to come, including the Bowl picks.
