Read this for a description of SRS.
Line values are taken from yahoo.com.
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
| New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts | Jets ρ=1.1603 | Jets δ=1.58 | Colts -8 |
| Minnesota Vikings @ New Orleans Saints | Saints ρ=1.0411 | Saints δ=2.57 | Saints -4½ |
Comments:
The Colts will likely stick to the same game plan they used against the Ravens: establish an early lead, take away the running game, and grind the clock.
The Jets will likely stick to their same game plan too. They've made it this far with just Sanchez throwing just 38 times in two games. But the Colts defense will certainly be scheming to put Mark Sanchez in a position to throw the ball.
The Colts light end-of-season load and bye week for the wildcard round of the playoffs could be a major advantage for them as well. The Jets have been playing for their playoff lives for the last four games.
It's something of a shock to me that the NFC Championship game features the Vikings and Saints—the way both teams finished the regular season, I figured one if not both would be one-and-done in the divisional round.
One big factor in this game is going to be the Saints' offensive line. If Drew Brees is running for his life like Tony Romo was last week, it's going to be very hard for the Saints to keep up with the Vikings.
