Wednesday, September 22, 2010

NFL: Week 3 Game Picks

GameAPRSRSLine
49ers @
Chiefs
Chiefs
ρ=2.1479
Chiefs
δ=42.6
49ers
-1
Chargers @
Seahawks
Chargers
ρ=1.4462
Chargers
δ=21.9
Chargers
-5½
Cowboys @
Texans
Texans
ρ=1.3908
Texans
δ=14.4
Texans
-2½
Falcons @
Saints
Falcons
ρ=1.3350
Falcons
δ=33.1
Saints
-4½
Redskins @
Rams
Redskins
ρ=1.2794
Redskins
δ=25.2
Redskins
-3
Packers @
Bears
Packers
ρ=1.2543
Packers
δ=8.0
Packers
-3
Steelers @
Buccaneers
Steelers
ρ=1.1836
Steelers
δ=14.4
Steelers
-2½
Bengals @
Panthers
Bengals
ρ=1.1781
Bengals
δ=12.1
Bengals
-3
Titans @
Giants
Titans
ρ=1.1642
Titans
δ=23.1
Giants
-3
Lions @
Vikings
Lions
ρ=1.1583
Lions
δ=22.5
Vikings
-10½
Raiders @
Cardinals
Cardinals
ρ=1.1447
Raiders
δ=1.0
Cardinals
-4
Colts @
Broncos
Colts
ρ=1.1258
Colts
δ=9.0
Colts
-6
Jets @
Dolphins
Dolphins
ρ=1.1047
Jets
δ=14.0
Dolphins
-1½
Bills @
Patriots
Patriots
ρ=1.0838
Patriots
δ=16.9
Patriots
-13½
Eagles @
Jaguars
Jaguars
ρ=1.0357
Eagles
δ=2.5
Eagles
-3
Browns @
Ravens
Browns
ρ=1.0147
Browns
δ=8.1
Ravens
-10½

Comments:

  • Mike Singletary will be real danger of losing his team if the 49ers can't get a road win against an opponent that they should handle easily.

  • Packers @ Bears is just about as big a game as you could ask for in week 3: first place, an undefeated record, and a solid lead in the division all on the line.

  • The Bears' season could be on the line, too. The last thing they need is a big loss at home just as they are starting to gain confidence in Martz' system.

  • Lions @ Vikings is an interesting game, too, from a "how low can they go" point of view. The Lions have been competitive in both their games, and the Vikings—the way their offense has been playing, they could need a shut-out to win by 11 points.