| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens @ Panthers | Ravens ρ=1.4626 | Ravens* δ=19.8 | Ravens -10 |
| Texans @ Jets | Jets ρ=1.2530 | Jets δ=12.4 | Jets -7 |
| Redskins @ Titans | Titans ρ=1.1653 | Titans δ=11.2 | Titans -7 |
| Cardinals @ Chiefs | Chiefs ρ=1.1469 | Chiefs δ=11.5 | Chiefs -8 |
| Falcons @ Rams | Falcons ρ=1.1453 | Falcons* δ=9.7 | Falcons -3 |
| Packers @ Vikings | Packers ρ=1.1340 | Packers* δ=10.4 | Packers -3 |
| Raiders @ Steelers | Steelers ρ=1.1245 | Steelers δ=4.3 | Steelers -7½ |
| Broncos @ Chargers | Chargers ρ=1.0841 | Chargers δ=7.3 | Chargers -10 |
| Seahawks @ Saints | Saints ρ=1.0823 | Saints δ=8.1 | Saints -12 |
| Giants @ Eagles | Eagles* ρ=1.0747 | Eagles δ=4.1 | Eagles -3 |
| Browns @ Jaguars | Browns ρ=1.0679 | Browns* δ=7.6 | Jaguars -1½ |
| Lions @ Cowboys | Lions ρ=1.0675 | Lions* δ=8.4 | Cowboys -6½ |
| Bills @ Bengals | Bengals* ρ=1.0562 | Bengals δ=3.9 | Bengals -5½ |
| Colts @ Patriots | Patriots ρ=1.0502 | Patriots δ=2.3 | Patriots -3 |
| Bears @ Dolphins | Dolphins* ρ=1.0359 | Dolphins δ=1.0 | Dolphins -1½ |
| Buccaneers @ 49ers | Buccaneers ρ=1.0281 | Buccaneers* δ=0.3 | 49ers -3 |
Comments:
Byes are done. Yay!
Lots of agreement this week—only 3 split picks.
SRS-VH doesn't like the Ravens to beat the Panthers? The Ravens have struggled on the road (including a loss to the now 2-7 Bengals). But lose to the Panthers? That would be a major shock for a team a lot of people have picked to make it to the Super Bowl.
Update: Brian St. Pierre is scheduled to start at QB for the Panthers on Sunday. Until recently, St. Pierre was the 3rd-string QB for the Cardinals, and (every time I saw him play, anyway) was never in danger of moving up the depth chart. Apparently it was a choice between him and a 6th-round rookie.
The Steelers will have to play a lot better on offense if they're going to beat the Raiders by more than a touchdown. They're certainly not an easy win anymore (and weren't last year, either, when the Steelers played them).
Not even the line likes the Bears against the Miami "who's our QB now?" Dolphins. Of course, home field is usually worth ~3 points on the line... I wonder how much home field on a Thursday night is worth?
