Update: Thanks to the magic of JavaScript, the 'SOS Played' and 'SOS Unplayed' columns are now sortable if you are JavaScript-enabled. Just click on the link at the top of the column to sort (or reverse sort, if already sorted) on that column.
Rank | Team | SOS unplayed | Rank | SOS played |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Bears | 0.9596 | 29 | 0.8557 |
2 | Texans | 0.9543 | 16 | 0.9017 |
3 | Bengals | 0.9371 | 6 | 0.9236 |
4 | Bills | 0.9337 | 3 | 0.9438 |
5 | Panthers | 0.9276 | 22 | 0.8821 |
6 | Patriots | 0.9265 | 9 | 0.9168 |
7 | Colts | 0.9214 | 24 | 0.8735 |
8 | Dolphins | 0.9197 | 2 | 0.9459 |
9 | Packers | 0.9195 | 18 | 0.8946 |
10 | Giants | 0.9122 | 28 | 0.8632 |
11 | Vikings | 0.9093 | 11 | 0.9131 |
12 | Jaguars | 0.9093 | 19 | 0.8931 |
13 | Lions | 0.9092 | 10 | 0.9156 |
14 | Cowboys | 0.9088 | 14 | 0.9063 |
15 | Raiders | 0.9084 | 26 | 0.8641 |
16 | Buccaneers | 0.9005 | 30 | 0.8505 |
17 | Jets | 0.8996 | 12 | 0.9101 |
18 | Redskins | 0.8913 | 8 | 0.9174 |
19 | Saints | 0.8885 | 31 | 0.8456 |
20 | Titans | 0.8879 | 17 | 0.9014 |
21 | Steelers | 0.8823 | 4 | 0.9321 |
22 | Eagles | 0.8759 | 13 | 0.9097 |
23 | Chargers | 0.8757 | 21 | 0.8834 |
24 | Chiefs | 0.8722 | 25 | 0.8731 |
25 | Broncos | 0.8698 | 5 | 0.9248 |
26 | Browns | 0.8694 | 1 | 0.9481 |
27 | Rams | 0.8687 | 32 | 0.8395 |
28 | Seahawks | 0.8619 | 27 | 0.8633 |
29 | Ravens | 0.8613 | 7 | 0.9201 |
30 | 49ers | 0.8599 | 23 | 0.8773 |
31 | Falcons | 0.8344 | 15 | 0.9029 |
32 | Cardinals | 0.8285 | 20 | 0.8851 |
Comments:
I've been meaning to get to this since week 4. I finally made some time to get it done.
This was computed using the week 10 power rankings. The "played" SOS figure is the combination of the power for all opposing teams in games played through week 10; the "to play" is the combination of all opponents to be played. Division opponents are included twice when they appear twice.
If you hover over each team name, you should see (as tooltip text) the ratio of unplayed over played strength of schedule, as well as the ranking of that ratio from 1 (highest) to 32 (lowest). A high ratio means the upcoming games will be much harder; a low ratio means upcoming games should be easier.
Biggest swings from easiest played to hardest to play: 1) Bears, 2) Buccaneers, 3) Texans, 4) Giants, 5) Colts.
Biggest swings from hardest to easiest: 32) Browns, 31) Falcons, 30) Ravens, 29) Cardinals, 28) Broncos.
Based on this, it looks like the Falcons and Eagles have the inside track on the top two seeds in the NFC (although the Packers do have the head-to-head tie breaker over the Eagles, if it comes down to that).
And for the top AFC seeds, it looks like the Ravens and... who? Titans? Chiefs?! Jets? Too soon to say, I think.