All Line values are from yahoo.com, except Jaguars @ Titans, which is from footballlocks.com.
Game | APR | SRS | Line |
---|---|---|---|
49ers @ Packers | Packers ρ=1.2113 | Packers δ=17.5 | Packers -10 |
Saints @ Bengals | Saints ρ=1.1641 | Saints* δ=5.3 | Saints -7 |
Rams @ Cardinals | Rams ρ=1.1607 | Rams* δ=7.7 | Rams -3 |
Broncos @ Chiefs | Chiefs ρ=1.1490 | Chiefs δ=8.2 | Chiefs -9 |
Bears @ Lions | Bears ρ=1.1469 | Bears* δ=3.6 | Bears -3 |
Texans @ Eagles | Eagles ρ=1.1421 | Eagles δ=6.7 | Eagles -8½ |
Raiders @ Chargers | Chargers ρ=1.1342 | Chargers δ=7.6 | Chargers -13 |
Falcons @ Buccaneers | Falcons ρ=1.1324 | Falcons* δ=9.5 | Falcons -3 |
Cowboys @ Colts | Colts* ρ=1.1069 | Colts δ=6.1 | Colts -5½ |
Redskins @ Giants | Giants* ρ=1.0769 | Giants δ=4.2 | Giants -7 |
Panthers @ Seahawks | Seahawks* ρ=1.0631 | Seahawks δ=4.0 | Seahawks -6 |
Jets @ Patriots | Patriots* ρ=1.0382 | Patriots δ=0.4 | Patriots -3½ |
Steelers @ Ravens | Ravens ρ=1.0379 | Steelers* δ=2.2 | Ravens -3 |
Jaguars @ Titans | Titans* ρ=1.0285 | Titans δ=8.1 | Titans -2 |
Browns @ Dolphins | Dolphins* ρ=1.0077 | Dolphins δ=1.4 | Dolphins -4½ |
Bills @ Vikings | Bills ρ=1.0030 | Vikings δ=0.1 | Vikings -6½ |
Comments:
No word as I write this if Kerry Collins will be able to start Sunday for the Titans. I guess footballlocks thinks he will, as that's pretty much the only chance they have to get a win.
Lots of agreement again this week—only two split picks.
The Packers haven't lost to the 49ers in the regular season since 1990. Troy Smith will have to do a very good job at quarterback for that streak to end this year.
The Seahawks and Rams both have a good chance to win this week. After Sunday there should be at least one team in the NFC West that doesn't have a losing record.
APR and SRS both have Bills @ Vikings a very close game. The Vikings have been beating bad teams that can't get out of their own way. Getting a win in the Metrodome can be a tall order, but if the Bills are really improving, they'll have a chance.