Tuesday, November 30, 2010

NFL: Week 12 APR vs ESPN

What this is

A comparison of APR's Week 12 power rankings with ESPN's rankings for the same week of games. This acts as a sanity check (both ways) to see what teams are over- or underrated.

Only teams that are at least 9 positions apart are listed. The number in parentheses is the difference between APR's rank and ESPN's rank.

Teams ESPN likes more than APR:

Amazing—for the first time this early in the season, there isn't any team outside my 9-position limit. There are some on the bubble, though.

On the bubble:
Seahawks (+8). Can a #22 ranking be too high for a 5-6 team? The Seahawks make a strong case for 'yes'.
In range:
Rams (+6). On the other hand, maybe APR has the Rams ranked too low. They are clearly improving, and with three division games left on their schedule, have a real shot at 8 wins this year (which is more than their combined wins for 2007, 2008, and 2009).

Teams APR likes more than ESPN:

On the bubble:
Browns (-8). The Browns came within a doinked last-second field goal of losing to the Panthers. The Browns may be on the verge of success, but it sure doesn't seem like Jake Delhomme has a part in making it happen.
In range:
Buffalo (-6). They've had two outright wins, and three losses in overtime since their bye. Definitely not a team to pencil in as an easy win anymore.