Tuesday, November 30, 2010

NFL: Week 12 Pick Results

Winning teams in bold.

Unanimous Picks (9-3)


Patriots @ Lions
Saints @ Cowboys
Steelers @ Bills
Chiefs @ Seahawks
49ers @ Cardinals
Bengals @ Jets
Jaguars @ Giants
Panthers @ Browns
Buccaneers @ Ravens


Vikings @ Redskins
The Redskins offense has struggled this season, and this game is another prime example. Their running game only put up 29 yards, and McNabb was only able to sustain one long drive with his passing. The Vikings special teams nearly gave the game away (the Redskins had a late punt return TD called back on an illegal block), But in the end, the Vikings did (barely) enough to come away with a win.
Chargers @ Colts
The Colts haven't lost at home by 22 points since 1997 (the year before they drafted Peyton Manning). Are the Chargers just a bad matchup for the Colts? You can blame this some on the Colts' many injuries, but the Colts are now 1-5 in their last 6 meetings with the Chargers (including playoffs).
Eagles @ Bears
Vick's interception was the big highlight of the game, but the Eagles' real problem was their defense couldn't get off the field. They just couldn't stop Cutler—he passed for 247 yards and 4 touchdowns (and no interceptions) on just 14 completions. Matt Forte putting up 117 yards rushing helped things along too.

Split (APR: 2-2 SRS: 2-2 Line: 2-2)

Titans (APR, SRS) @ Texans (Line)
Rusty Smith (the Titans' 6th-round pick rookie QB) was really awful in this game: 17/31 for 138 yards and 3 interceptions. The Titans didn't have a drive longer than 27 yards until garbage time, and they are now the only opponent that didn't score at least 24 points on the Texans this season.
Packers (APR, SRS) @ Falcons (Line)
As usual for a close game, there are a lot of things I could point to as turning points. One that really stood out as I watched the game was Mike Turner's running. He got solid yards running up the middle, which made runs to the outside, and play-action a lot more effective. The Packers' running game consisted almost entirely of scrambles by Aaron Rodgers, and as a result, the Packers offense played catch-up the whole game, until time to catch up ran out.
Rams (APR, SRS) @ Broncos (Line)
Sam Bradford had perhaps the best game of his young career, throwing 22/37, 308 yards and 3 touchdowns. Ironically, it was the Rams' defense that nearly let this game slip away, giving up 20 fourth-quarter points, which kept the Broncos in the game right to the final seconds of play.
Dolphins (APR, SRS) @ Raiders (Line)
The Raiders managed just 16(!) yards total running the ball, and Bruce Gradkowski was not able to make it up passing. Chad Henne didn't have a great day at quarterback for the Dolphins, but with Ricky Williams and Ronnie Brown running for 180 yards, he didn't really need one.


APR 11- 5 86-74-053.8%
APR VH 8- 8 82-78-051.2%
SRS 11- 5 89-71-055.6%
SRS VH 7- 9 86-73-154.1%
Line 11- 5101-59-063.1%