Monday, February 7, 2011

NFL: Super Bowl Pick Result

Winning team in bold.

Steelers vs. Packers (APR, SRS, Line)
Today I was listening to the local ESPN radio affiliate, and they were trying to puzzle out why an elite quarterback like Ben Roethlisberger had such a bad game in the Super Bowl. I'm pretty sure I know the answer: Ben Roethlisberger is not an elite quarterback.
Oh, to be sure, he's a descent quarterback, and one mostly adequate to the way the Steelers like to play football (solid defense, and run the ball a lot on offense). But I just don't think he's at the same level as Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, or even Aaron Rodgers.
If you look at Roethlisberger's numbers in the playoffs, he had 2½ good quarters against the Ravens, and maybe one good quarter against the Jets. In the Super Bowl, except for a few drives, he had perhaps his best game of the playoffs.
The problem, of course, is that the mistakes on those bad drives (the two interceptions and the final four-and-out) cost the Steelers the game. And that was the difference in the game—Aaron Rodgers was able to play better against the Steelers defense than Ben Roethlisberger was able to play against the Packers defense.


APR 1-09-281.8%
SRS 1-09-281.8%
Line 1-06-554.5%


That's (almost) it for the 2010 season. I've got a couple more wrap-up posts to do, and then, as usual, fspi will be pretty quiet until football starts up again (hopefully next fall).

Until then, thanks for reading. See you in September.