Update: now with a full complement of k's
| Game | APR | SRS | Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rams @ Cowboys | Cowboys ρ=1.4309 | Cowboys δ=19.2 | Cowboys -13 |
| Colts @ Saints | Saints ρ=1.3949 | Saints δ=18.1 | Saints -14 |
| Packers @ Vikings | Packers ρ=1.3498 | Packers* δ=18.5 | Packers -9 |
| Ravens @ Jaguars | Ravens ρ=1.3475 | Ravens* δ=23.4 | Ravens -8 |
| Chiefs @ Raiders | Raiders ρ=1.2289 | Raiders δ=19.8 | Raiders -3½ |
| Falcons @ Lions | Lions ρ=1.1958 | Lions δ=11.8 | Lions -3½ |
| Broncos @ Dolphins | Broncos ρ=1.1805 | Broncos* δ=5.3 | Dolphins -2 |
| Steelers @ Cardinals | Steelers* ρ=1.1723 | Steelers* δ=10.7 | Steelers -3½ |
| Redskins @ Panthers | Redskins ρ=1.1360 | Redskins* δ=3.8 | Panthers -1 |
| Seahawks @ Browns | Seahawks ρ=1.0801 | Seahawks* δ=3.0 | Browns -2½ |
| Chargers @ Jets | Jets ρ=1.0369 | Jets δ=8.3 | Chargers -1 |
| Texans @ Titans | Titans ρ=1.0192 | Texans* δ=1.8 | Titans -3 |
| Bears @ Buccaneers | Bears* ρ=1.0178 | Bears* δ=8.8 | Bears -1 |
Bye: Bills, Bengals, Patriots, Giants, Eagles, 49ers
Comments:
Another week with a lot of narrow lines. Only four games wider than 3½ points.
Another likely snoozer for the Sunday night game. I wonder how hard NBC will push for the ability to flex games earlier in the season when their contract comes up for renewal?
The Jets have had 3 pretty ugly losses so far, but they've played a tough schedule. The Chargers are 4-1, but with unimpressive wins over weak teams. I'm surprised the Line isn't going with the Jets here, especially at home, and against a team that has to fly coast-to-coast to get to the game.
John Beck will reportedly be starting for the Redskins this week, so the Panthers defense may actually be able to carry them to their second win.
Tim Tebow and the Brandon Lloyd-less Broncos will pay a visit to the winless Miami Dolphins this week. Hard to imagine that anything except a train-wreck of a game. This is probably also the Dolphins best chance to get a win this season.
