Game | APR | SRS | Line |
---|---|---|---|
Rams @ Packers | Packers ρ=1.7818 | Packers δ=27.9 | Packers -15½ |
Colts @ Bengals | Bengals ρ=1.3997 | Bengals δ=17.9 | Bengals -7 |
Browns @ Raiders | Raiders ρ=1.3599 | Raiders δ=15.4 | Raiders -7 |
Bills @ Giants | Bills ρ=1.3542 | Bills* δ=16.2 | Giants -3 |
Dolphins @ Jets | Jets ρ=1.2477 | Jets δ=12.1 | Jets -7 |
Saints @ Buccaneers | Saints ρ=1.2432 | Saints* δ=16.3 | Saints -4 |
Cowboys @ Patriots | Patriots ρ=1.1552 | Patriots δ=6.2 | Patriots -7 |
Jaguars @ Steelers | Steelers ρ=1.1450 | Steelers δ=10.5 | Steelers -13 |
Eagles @ Redskins | Redskins ρ=1.1193 | Redskins δ=1.4 | Eagles -1 |
Vikings @ Bears | Bears ρ=1.0727 | Bears δ=4.7 | Bears -2½ |
Texans @ Ravens | Ravens ρ=1.0711 | Ravens δ=8.3 | Ravens -8 |
49ers @ Lions | Lions ρ=1.0660 | 49ers* δ=0.8 | Lions -4 |
Panthers @ Falcons | Falcons ρ=1.0038 | Panthers* δ=4.0 | Falcons -3½ |
Bye: Cardinals, Broncos, Chiefs, Chargers, Seahawks, Titans
Comments:
Once again, the Bills are underdogs to a team that's looked really bad so far. I'm going with APR on this one. The Giants are in trouble, even if they are playing at home.
And the Eagles are somehow favored on the road over the Redskins? The Redskins haven't exactly been beating the class of the NFL, but they have been winning, which is more than can be said of the Eagles.
At 2-3, the Bears and Falcons are both on the brink of a lost season. A win this week means a 3-3 record, and a chance to claw back into contention. A loss means 2-4, and a long way back (especially for the Bears, who are already 3 games behind the Packers and Lions).
Who would've guessed that 49ers @ Lions would be one of the best matchups this week? One of these teams should come out of this game with a quality win, and a boost to their confidence for the stretch run to the playoffs.